Trader consensus favors former champion Alexandre Pantoja at 43% implied probability to hold the UFC flyweight title by year-end, reflecting his dominant defenses prior to a freak first-round arm injury TKO loss to Joshua Van at UFC 323 in December 2025, with recent updates confirming no surgery and a mid-2026 return target. Current champ Van sits at 26% amid a minor injury postponing his title defense against top contender Tatsuro Taira from UFC 327 to UFC 328 on May 9, raising questions about his first-round fluke win and readiness. Taira (24.5%) and Manel Kape (24%) draw support from Taira's undefeated streak and Kape's emphatic first-round KO of Brandon Royval in December, positioning the division as highly competitive through multiple title bouts ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于亚历山大·潘托哈 43%
Joshua Van 33%
马内尔·卡佩 16%
平良达郎 13%
亚历山大·潘托哈
43%
Joshua Van
33%
马内尔·卡佩
14%
平良达郎
22%
堀口恭司
5%
蒂姆·埃利奥特
1%
阿米尔·阿尔巴兹
1%
阿苏·阿尔马巴耶夫
1%
史蒂夫·欧赛格
1%
布兰登·罗伊瓦尔
<1%
布兰登·莫雷诺
<1%
亚历山大·潘托哈 43%
Joshua Van 33%
马内尔·卡佩 16%
平良达郎 13%
亚历山大·潘托哈
43%
Joshua Van
33%
马内尔·卡佩
14%
平良达郎
22%
堀口恭司
5%
蒂姆·埃利奥特
1%
阿米尔·阿尔巴兹
1%
阿苏·阿尔马巴耶夫
1%
史蒂夫·欧赛格
1%
布兰登·罗伊瓦尔
<1%
布兰登·莫雷诺
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
市场开放时间： Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors former champion Alexandre Pantoja at 43% implied probability to hold the UFC flyweight title by year-end, reflecting his dominant defenses prior to a freak first-round arm injury TKO loss to Joshua Van at UFC 323 in December 2025, with recent updates confirming no surgery and a mid-2026 return target. Current champ Van sits at 26% amid a minor injury postponing his title defense against top contender Tatsuro Taira from UFC 327 to UFC 328 on May 9, raising questions about his first-round fluke win and readiness. Taira (24.5%) and Manel Kape (24%) draw support from Taira's undefeated streak and Kape's emphatic first-round KO of Brandon Royval in December, positioning the division as highly competitive through multiple title bouts ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题