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选举·斯洛文尼亚选举

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

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选举·斯洛文尼亚选举

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

$109,131 交易量

2026-03-22
Polymarket

$109,131 交易量

Polymarket
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Democrats (D)

$15,311 交易量

75%

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Social Democrats (SD)

$7,711 交易量

55%

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Resni.ca (Res)

$19,304 交易量

49%

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New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)

$2,174 交易量

60%

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Freedom Movement (GS)

$24,470 交易量

53%

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Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)

$871 交易量

45%

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Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)

$727 交易量

45%

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Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)

$13,382 交易量

35%

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The Left (Levica)

$5,382 交易量

25%

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Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)

$9,847 交易量

3%

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Party of Generations (SG)

$760 交易量

2%

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Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)

$616 交易量

6%

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Our Country (ND)

$3,616 交易量

1%

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Slovenian National Party (SNS)

$2,780 交易量

1%

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Prerod (PVP)

$2,332 交易量

10%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Following Slovenia's parliamentary elections on March 22, 2026, Prime Minister Robert Golob's liberal Freedom Movement (GS) secured a narrow victory with 29 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, edging out Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 28 seats amid a highly fragmented result. No bloc reached the 46-seat majority needed for government formation, prompting Golob to launch coalition negotiations on March 27 with potential partners like the Social Democrats (SD), Democrats (D), and greens. President Nataša Pirc Musar has scheduled the constitutive session for April 10, after which she will issue the first mandate, likely to GS; failure to form a coalition within constitutional timelines could trigger a no-confidence vote or snap election. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over final coalition partners amid policy sticking points on economy and EU integration.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
交易量
$109,131
结束日期
2026-03-22
市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Following Slovenia's parliamentary elections on March 22, 2026, Prime Minister Robert Golob's liberal Freedom Movement (GS) secured a narrow victory with 29 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, edging out Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 28 seats amid a highly fragmented result. No bloc reached the 46-seat majority needed for government formation, prompting Golob to launch coalition negotiations on March 27 with potential partners like the Social Democrats (SD), Democrats (D), and greens. President Nataša Pirc Musar has scheduled the constitutive session for April 10, after which she will issue the first mandate, likely to GS; failure to form a coalition within constitutional timelines could trigger a no-confidence vote or snap election. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over final coalition partners amid policy sticking points on economy and EU integration.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
交易量
$109,131
结束日期
2026-03-22
市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 15 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Democrats (D)"，概率为 75%，其次是"New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)"，概率为 60%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 75¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 75%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?"已产生 $109.1K 的总交易量（自Mar 13, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 15 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?"的当前领先者是"Democrats (D)"，概率为 75%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 75%。紧随其后的结果是"New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)"，概率为 60%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。