Final results from Slovenia's March 22, 2026, parliamentary election confirm the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) won 28 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly, under a proportional representation system requiring a 4% threshold for the 88 general seats plus two minority representatives. This outcome, with SDS capturing 27.88% of the vote amid a fragmented field, has locked in trader consensus at near-certainty for under 30 seats, aligning closely with pre-election polls projecting 23–28 mandates. Incumbent Freedom Movement (GS) took 29 seats, yielding a hung parliament and spurring coalition negotiations ahead of the April 10 constitutive session. While seat tallies from the State Election Commission show no disputes, improbable scenarios like successful recounts or legal challenges could theoretically alter the count.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于<30 99.7%
30-34 <1%
35-39 <1%
40-44 <1%
$92,175 交易量
$92,175 交易量
<30
100%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45+
<1%
<30 99.7%
30-34 <1%
35-39 <1%
40-44 <1%
$92,175 交易量
$92,175 交易量
<30
100%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition it may be part of.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
市场开放时间: Mar 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition it may be part of.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Final results from Slovenia's March 22, 2026, parliamentary election confirm the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) won 28 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly, under a proportional representation system requiring a 4% threshold for the 88 general seats plus two minority representatives. This outcome, with SDS capturing 27.88% of the vote amid a fragmented field, has locked in trader consensus at near-certainty for under 30 seats, aligning closely with pre-election polls projecting 23–28 mandates. Incumbent Freedom Movement (GS) took 29 seats, yielding a hung parliament and spurring coalition negotiations ahead of the April 10 constitutive session. While seat tallies from the State Election Commission show no disputes, improbable scenarios like successful recounts or legal challenges could theoretically alter the count.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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