Recent share price weakness, with TSLA closing near $410 after a 2.9% drop and trading in the low $420s mid-week, underpins the 69% implied probability on sub-$420 week-end levels. Traders appear to weigh the recent OpenAI lawsuit defeat and persistent EV demand softness against Tesla's first Model Y price increase in two years and ongoing AI-driven narratives around full self-driving rollout. Institutional stake adjustments and elevated trading volumes reflect this uncertainty, while the 47.8% odds on levels above $465 capture tail-risk optimism tied to potential robotaxi momentum. Market-implied odds embed these near-term catalysts ahead of any broader sector or macroeconomic shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于<$420 47%
>$465 45.8%
$420-$425 13%
$425-$430 12%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
<$420
47%
$420-$425
13%
$425-$430
12%
$430-$435
10%
$435-$440
10%
$440-$445
9%
$445-$450
9%
$450-$455
5%
$455-$460
9%
$460-$465
8%
>$465
46%
<$420 47%
>$465 45.8%
$420-$425 13%
$425-$430 12%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
<$420
$0 交易量
47%
$420-$425
$0 交易量
13%
$425-$430
$0 交易量
12%
$430-$435
$0 交易量
10%
$435-$440
$0 交易量
10%
$440-$445
$0 交易量
9%
$445-$450
$0 交易量
9%
$450-$455
$0 交易量
5%
$455-$460
$0 交易量
9%
$460-$465
$0 交易量
8%
>$465
$0 交易量
46%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent share price weakness, with TSLA closing near $410 after a 2.9% drop and trading in the low $420s mid-week, underpins the 69% implied probability on sub-$420 week-end levels. Traders appear to weigh the recent OpenAI lawsuit defeat and persistent EV demand softness against Tesla's first Model Y price increase in two years and ongoing AI-driven narratives around full self-driving rollout. Institutional stake adjustments and elevated trading volumes reflect this uncertainty, while the 47.8% odds on levels above $465 capture tail-risk optimism tied to potential robotaxi momentum. Market-implied odds embed these near-term catalysts ahead of any broader sector or macroeconomic shifts.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:09 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent share price weakness, with TSLA closing near $410 after a 2.9% drop and trading in the low $420s mid-week, underpins the 69% implied probability on sub-$420 week-end levels. Traders appear to weigh the recent OpenAI lawsuit defeat and persistent EV demand softness against Tesla's first Model Y price increase in two years and ongoing AI-driven narratives around full self-driving rollout. Institutional stake adjustments and elevated trading volumes reflect this uncertainty, while the 47.8% odds on levels above $465 capture tail-risk optimism tied to potential robotaxi momentum. Market-implied odds embed these near-term catalysts ahead of any broader sector or macroeconomic shifts.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 6:09 PM ETRecent share price weakness, with TSLA closing near $410 after a 2.9% drop and trading in the low $420s mid-week, underpins the 69% implied probability on sub-$420 week-end levels. Traders appear to weigh the recent OpenAI lawsuit defeat and persistent EV demand softness against Tesla's first Model Y price increase in two years and ongoing AI-driven narratives around full self-driving rollout. Institutional stake adjustments and elevated trading volumes reflect this uncertainty, while the 47.8% odds on levels above $465 capture tail-risk optimism tied to potential robotaxi momentum. Market-implied odds embed these near-term catalysts ahead of any broader sector or macroeconomic shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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