Catherine Trautmann's 99.6% implied probability as Strasbourg mayoral election winner reflects official Ministry of the Interior results from the March 22 second-round vote, where her socialist-centrist list secured 37% and a council majority, defeating incumbent ecologist Jeanne Barseghian (32%) and right-wing challenger Jean-Philippe Vetter. Leading after the March 15 first round at 25%, Trautmann benefited from strategic list fusions absent on the left, capitalizing on voter fatigue with the outgoing mayor's record amid urban mobility debates. With results certified despite initial reporting confusion, traders price in near-certainty ahead of the formal council vote to install her as mayor. Rare challenges could arise from legal recounts or procedural disputes, though none have materialized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于卡特琳娜·特劳特曼 99.6%
让-菲利普·韦特 <1%
让娜·巴塞吉安 <1%
$125,805 交易量
$125,805 交易量
Mar 22, 2026
卡特琳娜·特劳特曼
100%
让-菲利普·韦特
<1%
让娜·巴塞吉安
<1%
卡特琳娜·特劳特曼 99.6%
让-菲利普·韦特 <1%
让娜·巴塞吉安 <1%
$125,805 交易量
$125,805 交易量
Mar 22, 2026
卡特琳娜·特劳特曼
$79,326 交易量
100%
让-菲利普·韦特
$6,010 交易量
<1%
让娜·巴塞吉安
$40,469 交易量
<1%
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Catherine Trautmann's 99.6% implied probability as Strasbourg mayoral election winner reflects official Ministry of the Interior results from the March 22 second-round vote, where her socialist-centrist list secured 37% and a council majority, defeating incumbent ecologist Jeanne Barseghian (32%) and right-wing challenger Jean-Philippe Vetter. Leading after the March 15 first round at 25%, Trautmann benefited from strategic list fusions absent on the left, capitalizing on voter fatigue with the outgoing mayor's record amid urban mobility debates. With results certified despite initial reporting confusion, traders price in near-certainty ahead of the formal council vote to install her as mayor. Rare challenges could arise from legal recounts or procedural disputes, though none have materialized.
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
交易量
$125,805结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Catherine Trautmann's 99.6% implied probability as Strasbourg mayoral election winner reflects official Ministry of the Interior results from the March 22 second-round vote, where her socialist-centrist list secured 37% and a council majority, defeating incumbent ecologist Jeanne Barseghian (32%) and right-wing challenger Jean-Philippe Vetter. Leading after the March 15 first round at 25%, Trautmann benefited from strategic list fusions absent on the left, capitalizing on voter fatigue with the outgoing mayor's record amid urban mobility debates. With results certified despite initial reporting confusion, traders price in near-certainty ahead of the formal council vote to install her as mayor. Rare challenges could arise from legal recounts or procedural disputes, though none have materialized.
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$125,805结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Catherine Trautmann's 99.6% implied probability as Strasbourg mayoral election winner reflects official Ministry of the Interior results from the March 22 second-round vote, where her socialist-centrist list secured 37% and a council majority, defeating incumbent ecologist Jeanne Barseghian (32%) and right-wing challenger Jean-Philippe Vetter. Leading after the March 15 first round at 25%, Trautmann benefited from strategic list fusions absent on the left, capitalizing on voter fatigue with the outgoing mayor's record amid urban mobility debates. With results certified despite initial reporting confusion, traders price in near-certainty ahead of the formal council vote to install her as mayor. Rare challenges could arise from legal recounts or procedural disputes, though none have materialized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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