Galatasaray's dominant 86.5% implied probability in the Süper Lig winner market stems from their seven-point lead atop the standings after 26 matches, bolstered by a league-best 62 goals scored and +44 goal difference, following key recent wins including a 1-0 derby victory over Beşiktaş on March 7 via Victor Osimhen's goal and a 3-0 thrashing of İstanbul Başakşehir. As three-time defending champions, their form—20 wins in 26 games—has traders pricing in minimal slip-up risk with 12 matches left, including favorable home fixtures. Fenerbahçe trails at 11% despite an unbeaten run until their first loss last week, but a realistic challenge requires Galatasaray losses combined with Fener/Trabzonspor perfect streaks and head-to-head edges, though Gal's momentum and depth make upsets unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于加拉塔萨雷 87%
费内巴切 11%
特拉布宗体育会 3.6%
巴萨克谢希尔 <1%
$31,740 交易量
$31,740 交易量
加拉塔萨雷
87%
费内巴切
11%
特拉布宗体育会
4%
巴萨克谢希尔
1%
戈兹特佩
1%
贝西克塔斯
<1%
加拉塔萨雷 87%
费内巴切 11%
特拉布宗体育会 3.6%
巴萨克谢希尔 <1%
$31,740 交易量
$31,740 交易量
加拉塔萨雷
87%
费内巴切
11%
特拉布宗体育会
4%
巴萨克谢希尔
1%
戈兹特佩
1%
贝西克塔斯
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Süper Lig title (e.g., mathematical elimination before the end of the season), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If the 2025-26 Süper Lig season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Turkish Football Federation (https://www.tff.org/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Oct 9, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Süper Lig title (e.g., mathematical elimination before the end of the season), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If the 2025-26 Süper Lig season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Turkish Football Federation (https://www.tff.org/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Galatasaray's dominant 86.5% implied probability in the Süper Lig winner market stems from their seven-point lead atop the standings after 26 matches, bolstered by a league-best 62 goals scored and +44 goal difference, following key recent wins including a 1-0 derby victory over Beşiktaş on March 7 via Victor Osimhen's goal and a 3-0 thrashing of İstanbul Başakşehir. As three-time defending champions, their form—20 wins in 26 games—has traders pricing in minimal slip-up risk with 12 matches left, including favorable home fixtures. Fenerbahçe trails at 11% despite an unbeaten run until their first loss last week, but a realistic challenge requires Galatasaray losses combined with Fener/Trabzonspor perfect streaks and head-to-head edges, though Gal's momentum and depth make upsets unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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