Silver spot prices, currently around $29.40 per ounce, have rallied over 20% year-to-date on robust industrial demand from solar panels, electric vehicles, and electronics, alongside safe-haven flows amid geopolitical tensions and a softer dollar earlier in June. However, a hawkish Federal Reserve stance following the June 12 FOMC meeting—no rate cut signaled despite cooling inflation—lifted real Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar index to multi-month highs, pressuring prices back from a mid-June peak above $30. COMEX silver inventories remain elevated at 300 million ounces, tempering supply concerns. With end-of-June resolution imminent, traders eye Friday's PCE inflation data and potential China stimulus signals as key catalysts that could push SI futures toward or beyond key thresholds like $30. Polymarket odds capture this tug-of-war, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on near-term macro risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$3,112,069 交易量
↑ 250美元
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ $200
5%
↑ $170
5%
↑ $150
8%
↑ $130
11%
↑ $120
22%
↓ $65
71%
低于60美元
46%
↓ $55
34%
↓ $45
16%
↓ $35
6%
$3,112,069 交易量
↑ 250美元
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ $200
5%
↑ $170
5%
↑ $150
8%
↑ $130
11%
↑ $120
22%
↓ $65
71%
低于60美元
46%
↓ $55
34%
↓ $45
16%
↓ $35
6%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间: Jan 26, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Silver spot prices, currently around $29.40 per ounce, have rallied over 20% year-to-date on robust industrial demand from solar panels, electric vehicles, and electronics, alongside safe-haven flows amid geopolitical tensions and a softer dollar earlier in June. However, a hawkish Federal Reserve stance following the June 12 FOMC meeting—no rate cut signaled despite cooling inflation—lifted real Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar index to multi-month highs, pressuring prices back from a mid-June peak above $30. COMEX silver inventories remain elevated at 300 million ounces, tempering supply concerns. With end-of-June resolution imminent, traders eye Friday's PCE inflation data and potential China stimulus signals as key catalysts that could push SI futures toward or beyond key thresholds like $30. Polymarket odds capture this tug-of-war, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on near-term macro risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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