Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 72% implied probability of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate increase at the June 2026 meeting, driven by persistent inflation pressures and a tightening labor market. The RBA hiked its cash rate target to 4.1% on March 17—its second consecutive 25 basis point rise this year—citing underlying inflation holding near 3.7% year-on-year through February 2026, above the 2–3% target midpoint. Employment reached a record 14.75 million in February despite unemployment ticking up to 4.3%, underscoring resilient demand. Governor Bullock has signaled openness to further hikes if inflation proves sticky, with Q1 CPI data due late April and the May policy meeting as key near-term catalysts that could refine rate path expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Increase 59%
No Change 16%
Decrease 6.9%
$12,431 交易量
$12,431 交易量
2026-06-16
Decrease
6%
No Change
27%
Increase
74%
Increase 59%
No Change 16%
Decrease 6.9%
$12,431 交易量
$12,431 交易量
2026-06-16
Decrease
$153 交易量
6%
No Change
$6,037 交易量
27%
Increase
$6,240 交易量
74%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 72% implied probability of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate increase at the June 2026 meeting, driven by persistent inflation pressures and a tightening labor market. The RBA hiked its cash rate target to 4.1% on March 17—its second consecutive 25 basis point rise this year—citing underlying inflation holding near 3.7% year-on-year through February 2026, above the 2–3% target midpoint. Employment reached a record 14.75 million in February despite unemployment ticking up to 4.3%, underscoring resilient demand. Governor Bullock has signaled openness to further hikes if inflation proves sticky, with Q1 CPI data due late April and the May policy meeting as key near-term catalysts that could refine rate path expectations.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
交易量
$12,431结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 72% implied probability of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate increase at the June 2026 meeting, driven by persistent inflation pressures and a tightening labor market. The RBA hiked its cash rate target to 4.1% on March 17—its second consecutive 25 basis point rise this year—citing underlying inflation holding near 3.7% year-on-year through February 2026, above the 2–3% target midpoint. Employment reached a record 14.75 million in February despite unemployment ticking up to 4.3%, underscoring resilient demand. Governor Bullock has signaled openness to further hikes if inflation proves sticky, with Q1 CPI data due late April and the May policy meeting as key near-term catalysts that could refine rate path expectations.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
交易量
$12,431结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 72% implied probability of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate increase at the June 2026 meeting, driven by persistent inflation pressures and a tightening labor market. The RBA hiked its cash rate target to 4.1% on March 17—its second consecutive 25 basis point rise this year—citing underlying inflation holding near 3.7% year-on-year through February 2026, above the 2–3% target midpoint. Employment reached a record 14.75 million in February despite unemployment ticking up to 4.3%, underscoring resilient demand. Governor Bullock has signaled openness to further hikes if inflation proves sticky, with Q1 CPI data due late April and the May policy meeting as key near-term catalysts that could refine rate path expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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