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气候与科学·降水

3月西雅图降水量？

Market icon
气候与科学·降水

3月西雅图降水量？

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

5-6英寸 94.2%

6-7英寸 5.1%

<3英寸 <1%

7-8英寸 <1%

Polymarket

$316,019 交易量

5-6英寸 94.2%

6-7英寸 5.1%

<3英寸 <1%

7-8英寸 <1%

Polymarket

$316,019 交易量

<3英寸

$58,378 交易量

<1%

3-4英寸

$167,678 交易量

<1%

4-5英寸

$32,248 交易量

<1%

5-6英寸

$14,708 交易量

94%

6-7英寸

$20,306 交易量

5%

7-8英寸

$11,213 交易量

<1%

>8英寸

$11,488 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94% implied probability to 5-6 inches of total March precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac), backed by NOAA measurements showing 5.37 inches accumulated through March 28—well above the 3.79-inch climatological normal (1991-2020)—fueled by atmospheric river events delivering over 1 inch on March 11 and 13, plus 0.77 inches on March 24. National Weather Service forecast models project under 0.3 inches more from scattered light showers over the final three days, cementing the 5-6 inch outcome amid drying high-pressure ridging. Realistic challenges include an unexpected stalled front or intensified Pacific moisture surge exceeding quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPF), potentially pushing totals into 6-7 inches, though historical late-month analogs suggest low likelihood.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94% implied probability to 5-6 inches of total March precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac), backed by NOAA measurements showing 5.37 inches accumulated through March 28—well above the 3.79-inch climatological normal (1991-2020)—fueled by atmospheric river events delivering over 1 inch on March 11 and 13, plus 0.77 inches on March 24. National Weather Service forecast models project under 0.3 inches more from scattered light showers over the final three days, cementing the 5-6 inch outcome amid drying high-pressure ridging. Realistic challenges include an unexpected stalled front or intensified Pacific moisture surge exceeding quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPF), potentially pushing totals into 6-7 inches, though historical late-month analogs suggest low likelihood.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for March 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94% implied probability to 5-6 inches of total March precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac), backed by NOAA measurements showing 5.37 inches accumulated through March 28—well above the 3.79-inch climatological normal (1991-2020)—fueled by atmospheric river events delivering over 1 inch on March 11 and 13, plus 0.77 inches on March 24. National Weather Service forecast models project under 0.3 inches more from scattered light showers over the final three days, cementing the 5-6 inch outcome amid drying high-pressure ridging. Realistic challenges include an unexpected stalled front or intensified Pacific moisture surge exceeding quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPF), potentially pushing totals into 6-7 inches, though historical late-month analogs suggest low likelihood.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94% implied probability to 5-6 inches of total March precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (Sea-Tac), backed by NOAA measurements showing 5.37 inches accumulated through March 28—well above the 3.79-inch climatological normal (1991-2020)—fueled by atmospheric river events delivering over 1 inch on March 11 and 13, plus 0.77 inches on March 24. National Weather Service forecast models project under 0.3 inches more from scattered light showers over the final three days, cementing the 5-6 inch outcome amid drying high-pressure ridging. Realistic challenges include an unexpected stalled front or intensified Pacific moisture surge exceeding quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPF), potentially pushing totals into 6-7 inches, though historical late-month analogs suggest low likelihood.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"3月西雅图降水量？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"5-6英寸"，概率为 94%，其次是"6-7英寸"，概率为 5%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 94¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 94%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"3月西雅图降水量？"已产生 $316K 的总交易量（自Feb 26, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"3月西雅图降水量？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"3月西雅图降水量？"的当前领先者是"5-6英寸"，概率为 94%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 94%。紧随其后的结果是"6-7英寸"，概率为 5%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"3月西雅图降水量？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。