Market icon

October 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.29-1.34 99.9%

<1.17 <1%

1.17-1.22 <1%

1.23-1.28 <1%

Polymarket

$863,544 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.17°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for October 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for October 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "October" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for October 2024 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
交易量
$863,544
结束日期
Oct 31, 2024
创建时间
Oct 23, 2024, 3:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.17°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for October 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for October 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "October" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for October 2024 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Market icon

October 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.29-1.34 99.9%

<1.17 <1%

1.17-1.22 <1%

1.23-1.28 <1%

Polymarket

$863,544 交易量

<1.17

$84,655 交易量

No

1.17-1.22

$80,342 交易量

No

1.23-1.28

$94,761 交易量

No

1.29-1.34

$55,050 交易量

Yes

1.35-1.40

$95,316 交易量

No

>1.40

$453,420 交易量

No

警惕外部链接哦。