TSA's official checkpoint data release showing 2,278,770 travelers screened on April 8 has solidified trader consensus at a near-certain 100% implied probability for the 2.2M-2.4M outcome, aligning with post-Easter normalization after spring break peaks exceeding 2.7M on April 2-6. Volumes have stabilized around 2.3M daily amid resolved March staffing shortages from funding disputes, reflecting steady domestic leisure travel without major disruptions like weather or holidays. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves minimal room for upsets, barring an unprecedented data revision—which historical patterns show is exceedingly rare—or audit discrepancies, though traders view such scenarios as negligible given the agency's verified reporting standards.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2.2M-2.4M 100.0%
<1.8M <1%
1.8M-2.0M <1%
2.0M-2.2M <1%
$5,421 交易量
$5,421 交易量
2026-04-08
<1.8M
No
1.8M-2.0M
No
2.0M-2.2M
No
2.2M-2.4M
Yes
2.4M-2.6M
No
>2.6M
No
2.2M-2.4M 100.0%
<1.8M <1%
1.8M-2.0M <1%
2.0M-2.2M <1%
$5,421 交易量
$5,421 交易量
2026-04-08
<1.8M
$519 交易量
No
1.8M-2.0M
$40 交易量
No
2.0M-2.2M
$640 交易量
No
2.2M-2.4M
$3,525 交易量
Yes
2.4M-2.6M
$627 交易量
No
>2.6M
$69 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 8, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.TSA's official checkpoint data release showing 2,278,770 travelers screened on April 8 has solidified trader consensus at a near-certain 100% implied probability for the 2.2M-2.4M outcome, aligning with post-Easter normalization after spring break peaks exceeding 2.7M on April 2-6. Volumes have stabilized around 2.3M daily amid resolved March staffing shortages from funding disputes, reflecting steady domestic leisure travel without major disruptions like weather or holidays. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves minimal room for upsets, barring an unprecedented data revision—which historical patterns show is exceedingly rare—or audit discrepancies, though traders view such scenarios as negligible given the agency's verified reporting standards.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 8, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
交易量
$5,421结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 8, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.TSA's official checkpoint data release showing 2,278,770 travelers screened on April 8 has solidified trader consensus at a near-certain 100% implied probability for the 2.2M-2.4M outcome, aligning with post-Easter normalization after spring break peaks exceeding 2.7M on April 2-6. Volumes have stabilized around 2.3M daily amid resolved March staffing shortages from funding disputes, reflecting steady domestic leisure travel without major disruptions like weather or holidays. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves minimal room for upsets, barring an unprecedented data revision—which historical patterns show is exceedingly rare—or audit discrepancies, though traders view such scenarios as negligible given the agency's verified reporting standards.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 8, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
交易量
$5,421结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
TSA's official checkpoint data release showing 2,278,770 travelers screened on April 8 has solidified trader consensus at a near-certain 100% implied probability for the 2.2M-2.4M outcome, aligning with post-Easter normalization after spring break peaks exceeding 2.7M on April 2-6. Volumes have stabilized around 2.3M daily amid resolved March staffing shortages from funding disputes, reflecting steady domestic leisure travel without major disruptions like weather or holidays. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves minimal room for upsets, barring an unprecedented data revision—which historical patterns show is exceedingly rare—or audit discrepancies, though traders view such scenarios as negligible given the agency's verified reporting standards.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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