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体育·NCAA篮球

NCAA锦标赛：团队进入半决赛

Market icon
体育·NCAA篮球

NCAA锦标赛：团队进入半决赛

$41,006 交易量

Apr 4, 2026
Polymarket

$41,006 交易量

Polymarket

Michigan

$2,700 交易量

74%

Illinois

$1,225 交易量

73%

Arizona

$6,909 交易量

71%

Duke

$2,150 交易量

67%

UConn

$849 交易量

35%

Purdue

$3,106 交易量

30%

Iowa

$44 交易量

29%

Tennessee

$380 交易量

27%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team advances to the semifinals of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the semifinals of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With Elite Eight matchups determining the Final Four, trader consensus heavily favors Illinois (78% implied probability), Michigan (75%), Arizona (73%), and Duke (68%) to advance, reflecting their dominant Sweet 16 wins on March 27—including Arizona's 109-88 rout of Arkansas, Michigan's 90-77 defeat of Alabama, Duke's gritty 80-75 edge over St. John's, and Illinois' 65-55 upset of Houston. Today's South Region clash pits No. 3 Illinois against surprising No. 9 Iowa, while No. 1 Arizona faces No. 2 Purdue in the West; Sunday features No. 1 Michigan vs. Tennessee in the Midwest and No. 1 Duke vs. No. 2 UConn in the East. No major injury reports alter the landscape, but close games like Purdue's 79-77 thriller over Texas underscore upset potential in these high-stakes bracket battles.

With Elite Eight matchups determining the Final Four, trader consensus heavily favors Illinois (78% implied probability), Michigan (75%), Arizona (73%), and Duke (68%) to advance, reflecting their dominant Sweet 16 wins on March 27—including Arizona's 109-88 rout of Arkansas, Michigan's 90-77 defeat of Alabama, Duke's gritty 80-75 edge over St. John's, and Illinois' 65-55 upset of Houston. Today's South Region clash pits No. 3 Illinois against surprising No. 9 Iowa, while No. 1 Arizona faces No. 2 Purdue in the West; Sunday features No. 1 Michigan vs. Tennessee in the Midwest and No. 1 Duke vs. No. 2 UConn in the East. No major injury reports alter the landscape, but close games like Purdue's 79-77 thriller over Texas underscore upset potential in these high-stakes bracket battles.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team advances to the semifinals of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the semifinals of the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (e.g. they are eliminated, withdraws, disqualified), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With Elite Eight matchups determining the Final Four, trader consensus heavily favors Illinois (78% implied probability), Michigan (75%), Arizona (73%), and Duke (68%) to advance, reflecting their dominant Sweet 16 wins on March 27—including Arizona's 109-88 rout of Arkansas, Michigan's 90-77 defeat of Alabama, Duke's gritty 80-75 edge over St. John's, and Illinois' 65-55 upset of Houston. Today's South Region clash pits No. 3 Illinois against surprising No. 9 Iowa, while No. 1 Arizona faces No. 2 Purdue in the West; Sunday features No. 1 Michigan vs. Tennessee in the Midwest and No. 1 Duke vs. No. 2 UConn in the East. No major injury reports alter the landscape, but close games like Purdue's 79-77 thriller over Texas underscore upset potential in these high-stakes bracket battles.

With Elite Eight matchups determining the Final Four, trader consensus heavily favors Illinois (78% implied probability), Michigan (75%), Arizona (73%), and Duke (68%) to advance, reflecting their dominant Sweet 16 wins on March 27—including Arizona's 109-88 rout of Arkansas, Michigan's 90-77 defeat of Alabama, Duke's gritty 80-75 edge over St. John's, and Illinois' 65-55 upset of Houston. Today's South Region clash pits No. 3 Illinois against surprising No. 9 Iowa, while No. 1 Arizona faces No. 2 Purdue in the West; Sunday features No. 1 Michigan vs. Tennessee in the Midwest and No. 1 Duke vs. No. 2 UConn in the East. No major injury reports alter the landscape, but close games like Purdue's 79-77 thriller over Texas underscore upset potential in these high-stakes bracket battles.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"NCAA锦标赛：团队进入半决赛"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 73+ 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Michigan"，概率为 74%，其次是"Illinois"，概率为 73%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 74¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 74%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"NCAA锦标赛：团队进入半决赛"已产生 $41K 的总交易量（自Mar 13, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"NCAA锦标赛：团队进入半决赛"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 73+ 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"NCAA锦标赛：团队进入半决赛"的当前领先者是"Michigan"，概率为 74%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 74%。紧随其后的结果是"Illinois"，概率为 73%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"NCAA锦标赛：团队进入半决赛"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。