Keaton Wagler's breakout NCAA Tournament performance, averaging 17.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game including a 25-point Elite Eight explosion against Iowa, has propelled No. 3 seed Illinois to its first Final Four since 2005, earning him trader consensus at 12% implied probability for Most Outstanding Player. The wide-open field reflects no dominant frontrunner, with Joshua Jefferson sidelined by injury during Iowa State's early exit to Tennessee and Braden Smith unable to advance Purdue past Arizona in the Elite Eight despite record-setting assists. Differentiators among leaders include tournament depth—Wagler's team remains alive—versus standout individual stats from eliminated squads, alongside Final Four matchups like Illinois-UConn testing sustained impact amid March Madness uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于凯顿·瓦格勒 12.4%
布拉登·史密斯 <1%
约书亚·杰斐逊 <1%
金斯顿·弗莱明斯 <1%
$170,823 交易量
$170,823 交易量
凯顿·瓦格勒
12%
布拉登·史密斯
1%
约书亚·杰斐逊
1%
金斯顿·弗莱明斯
1%
卡梅伦·布泽
1%
杰里米·菲尔斯二世
1%
AJ Dybantsa
<1%
卡勒布·威尔逊
<1%
达里厄斯·阿库夫二世
<1%
JT Toppin
<1%
凯顿·瓦格勒 12.4%
布拉登·史密斯 <1%
约书亚·杰斐逊 <1%
金斯顿·弗莱明斯 <1%
$170,823 交易量
$170,823 交易量
凯顿·瓦格勒
12%
布拉登·史密斯
1%
约书亚·杰斐逊
1%
金斯顿·弗莱明斯
1%
卡梅伦·布泽
1%
杰里米·菲尔斯二世
1%
AJ Dybantsa
<1%
卡勒布·威尔逊
<1%
达里厄斯·阿库夫二世
<1%
JT Toppin
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 9, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Keaton Wagler's breakout NCAA Tournament performance, averaging 17.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game including a 25-point Elite Eight explosion against Iowa, has propelled No. 3 seed Illinois to its first Final Four since 2005, earning him trader consensus at 12% implied probability for Most Outstanding Player. The wide-open field reflects no dominant frontrunner, with Joshua Jefferson sidelined by injury during Iowa State's early exit to Tennessee and Braden Smith unable to advance Purdue past Arizona in the Elite Eight despite record-setting assists. Differentiators among leaders include tournament depth—Wagler's team remains alive—versus standout individual stats from eliminated squads, alongside Final Four matchups like Illinois-UConn testing sustained impact amid March Madness uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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