Big Ten teams Illinois and Michigan advanced to the Final Four, powering trader consensus to a 52% implied probability for their conference to claim the NCAA Tournament national championship, reflecting the wisdom of crowds amid March Madness' late stages. Illinois (No. 3 seed) faces Big East's UConn (No. 2) in one semifinal, while Big Ten's Michigan (No. 1) meets Big 12 powerhouse Arizona (No. 1) in the other on April 4, highlighting the Big Ten's tournament dominance with the most Elite Eight and Sweet 16 representatives. Recent Elite Eight upsets eliminated other Big 12 contenders like Iowa State, solidifying Arizona's 34% path while UConn holds 13.5% on its defending champion pedigree despite a tougher bracket draw.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于十大联盟 52%
12大联盟 34%
大东联盟 13.4%
$96,656 交易量
$96,656 交易量
十大联盟
52%
12大联盟
34%
大东联盟
13%
十大联盟 52%
12大联盟 34%
大东联盟 13.4%
$96,656 交易量
$96,656 交易量
十大联盟
52%
12大联盟
34%
大东联盟
13%
If at any point it becomes impossible for any team from the listed conference to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament championship game per the rules of the NCAA (e.g., team is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the conference whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a national champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the National Collegiate Athletic Association (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Mar 10, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for any team from the listed conference to win the 2026 NCAA Tournament championship game per the rules of the NCAA (e.g., team is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the conference whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a national champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the National Collegiate Athletic Association (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Big Ten teams Illinois and Michigan advanced to the Final Four, powering trader consensus to a 52% implied probability for their conference to claim the NCAA Tournament national championship, reflecting the wisdom of crowds amid March Madness' late stages. Illinois (No. 3 seed) faces Big East's UConn (No. 2) in one semifinal, while Big Ten's Michigan (No. 1) meets Big 12 powerhouse Arizona (No. 1) in the other on April 4, highlighting the Big Ten's tournament dominance with the most Elite Eight and Sweet 16 representatives. Recent Elite Eight upsets eliminated other Big 12 contenders like Iowa State, solidifying Arizona's 34% path while UConn holds 13.5% on its defending champion pedigree despite a tougher bracket draw.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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