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体育·大学篮球

NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed

Market icon
体育·大学篮球

NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed

1 72%

3 16%

2 16%

9 8.2%

Polymarket
NEW

1 72%

3 16%

2 16%

9 8.2%

Polymarket
NEW

1

$823 交易量

72%

2

$22 交易量

16%

3

$0 交易量

16%

6

$0 交易量

5%

9

$63 交易量

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.All four No. 1 seeds—Duke, Arizona, Michigan, and defending champion Florida—advanced unscathed through the first weekend of March Madness, powering trader consensus to a 71.5% implied probability for a top seed national champion amid minimal upsets. Recent Sweet 16 results reinforced this, with Duke holding off No. 5 St. John's 80-75 and Michigan dominating No. 4 Alabama 90-77 on March 27-28, while Arizona and Florida maintain elite form as title favorites at +240 and shorter odds. No. 2 seeds like UConn (17%) and No. 3s (16%) reflect competitive paths via head-to-head edges and rest advantages heading to Elite Eight, but lower seeds such as No. 9 TCU (8.5%) and No. 6s (5.3%) trail due to tougher bracket matchups despite early Cinderella runs.

All four No. 1 seeds—Duke, Arizona, Michigan, and defending champion Florida—advanced unscathed through the first weekend of March Madness, powering trader consensus to a 71.5% implied probability for a top seed national champion amid minimal upsets. Recent Sweet 16 results reinforced this, with Duke holding off No. 5 St. John's 80-75 and Michigan dominating No. 4 Alabama 90-77 on March 27-28, while Arizona and Florida maintain elite form as title favorites at +240 and shorter odds. No. 2 seeds like UConn (17%) and No. 3s (16%) reflect competitive paths via head-to-head edges and rest advantages heading to Elite Eight, but lower seeds such as No. 9 TCU (8.5%) and No. 6s (5.3%) trail due to tougher bracket matchups despite early Cinderella runs.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seed number of the 2026 Men's Basketball NCAA Tournament champion equals the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.All four No. 1 seeds—Duke, Arizona, Michigan, and defending champion Florida—advanced unscathed through the first weekend of March Madness, powering trader consensus to a 71.5% implied probability for a top seed national champion amid minimal upsets. Recent Sweet 16 results reinforced this, with Duke holding off No. 5 St. John's 80-75 and Michigan dominating No. 4 Alabama 90-77 on March 27-28, while Arizona and Florida maintain elite form as title favorites at +240 and shorter odds. No. 2 seeds like UConn (17%) and No. 3s (16%) reflect competitive paths via head-to-head edges and rest advantages heading to Elite Eight, but lower seeds such as No. 9 TCU (8.5%) and No. 6s (5.3%) trail due to tougher bracket matchups despite early Cinderella runs.

All four No. 1 seeds—Duke, Arizona, Michigan, and defending champion Florida—advanced unscathed through the first weekend of March Madness, powering trader consensus to a 71.5% implied probability for a top seed national champion amid minimal upsets. Recent Sweet 16 results reinforced this, with Duke holding off No. 5 St. John's 80-75 and Michigan dominating No. 4 Alabama 90-77 on March 27-28, while Arizona and Florida maintain elite form as title favorites at +240 and shorter odds. No. 2 seeds like UConn (17%) and No. 3s (16%) reflect competitive paths via head-to-head edges and rest advantages heading to Elite Eight, but lower seeds such as No. 9 TCU (8.5%) and No. 6s (5.3%) trail due to tougher bracket matchups despite early Cinderella runs.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 16 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"1"，概率为 72%，其次是"2"，概率为 16%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 72¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 72%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Mar 18, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 16 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed"的当前领先者是"1"，概率为 72%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 72%。紧随其后的结果是"2"，概率为 16%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。