Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15, 2026, hit exactly 10°C in early morning hours at official weather stations, amid a persistent high-pressure ridge driving unseasonably warm conditions with rapid diurnal warming to highs near 26°C. This aligns with model consensus from KMA short-range forecasts and global ensembles like ECMWF, which projected morning lows around 9–12°C under dry advection and light winds, well above the mid-April climatological average of 7–9°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, pricing 10°C at full certainty. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data audits uncovering a lower peripheral-station reading or instrument recalibration, though KMA verification processes make such shifts improbable; final daily summary expected shortly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月15日首尔最低气温？
4月15日首尔最低气温？
10°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
11°C <1%
$100,603 交易量
$100,603 交易量
2026-04-16
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
是
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
10°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
11°C <1%
$100,603 交易量
$100,603 交易量
2026-04-16
8°C或以下
$6,231 交易量
否
9°C
$7,300 交易量
否
10°C
$23,868 交易量
是
11°C
$7,013 交易量
否
12°C
$7,207 交易量
否
13°C
$7,355 交易量
否
14°C
$6,832 交易量
否
15°C
$5,945 交易量
否
16°C
$7,560 交易量
否
17°C
$11,614 交易量
否
18°C或更高
$9,678 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15, 2026, hit exactly 10°C in early morning hours at official weather stations, amid a persistent high-pressure ridge driving unseasonably warm conditions with rapid diurnal warming to highs near 26°C. This aligns with model consensus from KMA short-range forecasts and global ensembles like ECMWF, which projected morning lows around 9–12°C under dry advection and light winds, well above the mid-April climatological average of 7–9°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, pricing 10°C at full certainty. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data audits uncovering a lower peripheral-station reading or instrument recalibration, though KMA verification processes make such shifts improbable; final daily summary expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ET
交易量
$100,603结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15, 2026, hit exactly 10°C in early morning hours at official weather stations, amid a persistent high-pressure ridge driving unseasonably warm conditions with rapid diurnal warming to highs near 26°C. This aligns with model consensus from KMA short-range forecasts and global ensembles like ECMWF, which projected morning lows around 9–12°C under dry advection and light winds, well above the mid-April climatological average of 7–9°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, pricing 10°C at full certainty. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data audits uncovering a lower peripheral-station reading or instrument recalibration, though KMA verification processes make such shifts improbable; final daily summary expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$100,603结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15, 2026, hit exactly 10°C in early morning hours at official weather stations, amid a persistent high-pressure ridge driving unseasonably warm conditions with rapid diurnal warming to highs near 26°C. This aligns with model consensus from KMA short-range forecasts and global ensembles like ECMWF, which projected morning lows around 9–12°C under dry advection and light winds, well above the mid-April climatological average of 7–9°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, pricing 10°C at full certainty. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data audits uncovering a lower peripheral-station reading or instrument recalibration, though KMA verification processes make such shifts improbable; final daily summary expected shortly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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