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How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Market icon

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

$129,270 交易量

Dec 1, 2023
Polymarket

$129,270 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

19+

$91,224 交易量

Yes

Market icon

21+

$38,046 交易量

No

This is a market on whether the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will name 19 or more storms during the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if NOAA names 19 or more storms during the Atlantic hurricane season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If 19 or more storms are named during the Atlantic hurricane season, the market will resolve to "Yes" immediately. Note: storms that form before the designated period but which are active during it are included in NOAA’s count. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.

This market may only resolve to "No" after December 1, 2023, 12:00:00 PM ET, if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not occurred before then.
交易量
$129,270
结束日期
Dec 1, 2023
市场开放时间
May 24, 2023, 2:02 PM ET
This is a market on whether the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) will name 19 or more storms during the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, a period lasting from June 1 to November 30. This market will resolve to “Yes” if NOAA names 19 or more storms during the Atlantic hurricane season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If 19 or more storms are named during the Atlantic hurricane season, the market will resolve to "Yes" immediately. Note: storms that form before the designated period but which are active during it are included in NOAA’s count. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. This market may only resolve to "No" after December 1, 2023, 12:00:00 PM ET, if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not occurred before then.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "19+" at 100%, followed by "21+" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?" has generated $129.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 24, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?" is "19+" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "21+" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.