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气候与科学·自然灾害

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 16 - February 22?

Market icon
气候与科学·自然灾害

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 16 - February 22?

1 100.0%

0 <1%

2 <1%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$253,478 交易量

1 100.0%

0 <1%

2 <1%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$253,478 交易量

0

$117,749 交易量

No

1

$36,624 交易量

Yes

2

$34,379 交易量

No

3

$32,706 交易量

No

4

$12,014 交易量

No

5

$10,123 交易量

No

>5

$9,882 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between February 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$253,478
结束日期
Feb 22, 2026
市场开放时间
Feb 13, 2026, 4:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between February 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 16 - February 22?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"1"，概率为 100%，其次是"0"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 16 - February 22?"已产生 $253.5K 的总交易量（自Feb 13, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 16 - February 22?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 16 - February 22?"的当前领先者是"1"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"0"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 16 - February 22?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。