Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on April 16 at virtually 100% implied probability, backed by official NOAA observations from Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source—which recorded a daily maximum of 11°C amid persistent overcast skies and light rain. Preceding 24-hour forecasts from Russian Hydromet (Roshydromet) had anticipated highs up to 16°C under partly cloudy conditions, but strengthened northerly winds ushered cooler air masses, suppressing solar insolation and capping temperatures below early-April climatological averages of 10–13°C. Multi-station data alignment leaves negligible room for revision, though final Roshydromet summaries could note minor airport-city discrepancies; unexpected sensor recalibrations represent the sole realistic challenge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月16日莫斯科最高气温？
4月16日莫斯科最高气温？
11°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$118,832 交易量
$118,832 交易量
2026-04-16
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
是
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
11°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$118,832 交易量
$118,832 交易量
2026-04-16
8°C或以下
$13,769 交易量
否
9°C
$11,599 交易量
否
10°C
$15,056 交易量
否
11°C
$12,743 交易量
是
12°C
$11,247 交易量
否
13°C
$25,714 交易量
否
14°C
$11,324 交易量
否
15°C
$6,404 交易量
否
16°C
$5,301 交易量
否
17°C
$3,035 交易量
否
18°C或更高
$2,641 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on April 16 at virtually 100% implied probability, backed by official NOAA observations from Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source—which recorded a daily maximum of 11°C amid persistent overcast skies and light rain. Preceding 24-hour forecasts from Russian Hydromet (Roshydromet) had anticipated highs up to 16°C under partly cloudy conditions, but strengthened northerly winds ushered cooler air masses, suppressing solar insolation and capping temperatures below early-April climatological averages of 10–13°C. Multi-station data alignment leaves negligible room for revision, though final Roshydromet summaries could note minor airport-city discrepancies; unexpected sensor recalibrations represent the sole realistic challenge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
交易量
$118,832结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on April 16 at virtually 100% implied probability, backed by official NOAA observations from Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source—which recorded a daily maximum of 11°C amid persistent overcast skies and light rain. Preceding 24-hour forecasts from Russian Hydromet (Roshydromet) had anticipated highs up to 16°C under partly cloudy conditions, but strengthened northerly winds ushered cooler air masses, suppressing solar insolation and capping temperatures below early-April climatological averages of 10–13°C. Multi-station data alignment leaves negligible room for revision, though final Roshydromet summaries could note minor airport-city discrepancies; unexpected sensor recalibrations represent the sole realistic challenge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$118,832结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on April 16 at virtually 100% implied probability, backed by official NOAA observations from Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source—which recorded a daily maximum of 11°C amid persistent overcast skies and light rain. Preceding 24-hour forecasts from Russian Hydromet (Roshydromet) had anticipated highs up to 16°C under partly cloudy conditions, but strengthened northerly winds ushered cooler air masses, suppressing solar insolation and capping temperatures below early-April climatological averages of 10–13°C. Multi-station data alignment leaves negligible room for revision, though final Roshydromet summaries could note minor airport-city discrepancies; unexpected sensor recalibrations represent the sole realistic challenge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题