National Weather Service forecasts project highs in the mid-80s°F for Miami on April 18 under mostly sunny skies and east winds of 5-10 mph, driving strong trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability for 84-85°F as the leading outcome, closely matching the area's April climatological normal maximum of 84°F. Morning observations show temperatures near 78°F with 75% humidity, amplified by warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures, while light showers from a nearby low-pressure system pose minor cooling risk but are not expected to suppress peak heating significantly. The 23.5% odds on 86-87°F reflect potential for enhanced insolation if sea breeze development delays, following a recent regional heat wave; final resolution hinges on official Miami International Airport measurements this afternoon, with hourly updates tracking any deviations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月18日迈阿密气温最高?
4月18日迈阿密气温最高?
84-85°F 64%
86-87°F 34%
82-83°F 3.0%
88-89°F 1.1%
$50,291 交易量
$50,291 交易量
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
64%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 64%
86-87°F 34%
82-83°F 3.0%
88-89°F 1.1%
$50,291 交易量
$50,291 交易量
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
64%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
争议期
最终
National Weather Service forecasts project highs in the mid-80s°F for Miami on April 18 under mostly sunny skies and east winds of 5-10 mph, driving strong trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability for 84-85°F as the leading outcome, closely matching the area's April climatological normal maximum of 84°F. Morning observations show temperatures near 78°F with 75% humidity, amplified by warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures, while light showers from a nearby low-pressure system pose minor cooling risk but are not expected to suppress peak heating significantly. The 23.5% odds on 86-87°F reflect potential for enhanced insolation if sea breeze development delays, following a recent regional heat wave; final resolution hinges on official Miami International Airport measurements this afternoon, with hourly updates tracking any deviations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题