Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 80-81°F in Miami on April 14, backed by official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), where the automated surface observing system (ASOS) recorded a peak in that bin, as reported by Weather Underground—the market's resolution source. This outcome reflects cooler-than-normal conditions for mid-April, with climatological highs averaging 83-84°F per National Weather Service normals, likely due to persistent cloud cover and northerly breezes from a recent frontal boundary suppressing daytime heating. While definitive, realistic challenges could involve rare quality-control revisions to KMIA data by NOAA, though maximum temperatures seldom shift post-validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on April 14?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 14?
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$114,430 交易量
$114,430 交易量
2026-04-14
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$114,430 交易量
$114,430 交易量
2026-04-14
69°F or below
$1,511 交易量
No
70-71°F
$9,171 交易量
No
72-73°F
$6,678 交易量
No
74-75°F
$4,434 交易量
No
76-77°F
$10,180 交易量
No
78-79°F
$12,901 交易量
No
80-81°F
$26,816 交易量
Yes
82-83°F
$22,215 交易量
No
84-85°F
$11,471 交易量
No
86-87°F
$5,539 交易量
No
88°F or higher
$3,513 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 80-81°F in Miami on April 14, backed by official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), where the automated surface observing system (ASOS) recorded a peak in that bin, as reported by Weather Underground—the market's resolution source. This outcome reflects cooler-than-normal conditions for mid-April, with climatological highs averaging 83-84°F per National Weather Service normals, likely due to persistent cloud cover and northerly breezes from a recent frontal boundary suppressing daytime heating. While definitive, realistic challenges could involve rare quality-control revisions to KMIA data by NOAA, though maximum temperatures seldom shift post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$114,430结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 80-81°F in Miami on April 14, backed by official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), where the automated surface observing system (ASOS) recorded a peak in that bin, as reported by Weather Underground—the market's resolution source. This outcome reflects cooler-than-normal conditions for mid-April, with climatological highs averaging 83-84°F per National Weather Service normals, likely due to persistent cloud cover and northerly breezes from a recent frontal boundary suppressing daytime heating. While definitive, realistic challenges could involve rare quality-control revisions to KMIA data by NOAA, though maximum temperatures seldom shift post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$114,430结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 80-81°F in Miami on April 14, backed by official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), where the automated surface observing system (ASOS) recorded a peak in that bin, as reported by Weather Underground—the market's resolution source. This outcome reflects cooler-than-normal conditions for mid-April, with climatological highs averaging 83-84°F per National Weather Service normals, likely due to persistent cloud cover and northerly breezes from a recent frontal boundary suppressing daytime heating. While definitive, realistic challenges could involve rare quality-control revisions to KMIA data by NOAA, though maximum temperatures seldom shift post-validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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