Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), the market's reference station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, confirm the highest temperature peaked at 25°C this afternoon amid persistent overcast conditions and light showers, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Weather Underground and short-range forecast models like GFS showed temperatures plateauing at 22–25°C through midday before evening cooling to around 16°C, aligning with Chengdu's April climatology of frequent cloud cover suppressing highs above 25°C on such days. A challenge would require an official data revision revealing a late-afternoon spike from sudden clearing—unlikely given the completed diurnal heating cycle and ongoing cloudiness—but final CMA daily bulletin will provide closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月16日成都气温最高？
4月16日成都气温最高？
25°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$75,329 交易量
$75,329 交易量
2026-04-16
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C或更高
否
25°C 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$75,329 交易量
$75,329 交易量
2026-04-16
16°C或以下
$5,446 交易量
否
17°C
$2,440 交易量
否
18°C
$2,013 交易量
否
19°C
$1,682 交易量
否
20°C
$3,937 交易量
否
21°C
$9,224 交易量
否
22°C
$9,085 交易量
否
23°C
$6,141 交易量
否
24°C
$5,682 交易量
否
25°C
$14,396 交易量
是
26°C或更高
$15,282 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), the market's reference station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, confirm the highest temperature peaked at 25°C this afternoon amid persistent overcast conditions and light showers, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Weather Underground and short-range forecast models like GFS showed temperatures plateauing at 22–25°C through midday before evening cooling to around 16°C, aligning with Chengdu's April climatology of frequent cloud cover suppressing highs above 25°C on such days. A challenge would require an official data revision revealing a late-afternoon spike from sudden clearing—unlikely given the completed diurnal heating cycle and ongoing cloudiness—but final CMA daily bulletin will provide closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
交易量
$75,329结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), the market's reference station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, confirm the highest temperature peaked at 25°C this afternoon amid persistent overcast conditions and light showers, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Weather Underground and short-range forecast models like GFS showed temperatures plateauing at 22–25°C through midday before evening cooling to around 16°C, aligning with Chengdu's April climatology of frequent cloud cover suppressing highs above 25°C on such days. A challenge would require an official data revision revealing a late-afternoon spike from sudden clearing—unlikely given the completed diurnal heating cycle and ongoing cloudiness—but final CMA daily bulletin will provide closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$75,329结束日期
2026-04-16市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), the market's reference station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, confirm the highest temperature peaked at 25°C this afternoon amid persistent overcast conditions and light showers, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Weather Underground and short-range forecast models like GFS showed temperatures plateauing at 22–25°C through midday before evening cooling to around 16°C, aligning with Chengdu's April climatology of frequent cloud cover suppressing highs above 25°C on such days. A challenge would require an official data revision revealing a late-afternoon spike from sudden clearing—unlikely given the completed diurnal heating cycle and ongoing cloudiness—but final CMA daily bulletin will provide closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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