National Weather Service observations at Austin Camp Mabry, the official station for such metrics, recorded a maximum temperature of 86°F on April 14 under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds gusting to 25 mph, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 84°F or higher. This reading, captured at 2:51 p.m. local time via automated surface observing system, aligns with a persistent warm pattern following March 2026's record heat, where highs have frequently exceeded seasonal norms of 78°F. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated above-average conditions due to a high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare data corrections from instrument calibration issues, though NWS preliminary reports are typically finalized without revision by market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月14日奥斯汀的最高温度？
4月14日奥斯汀的最高温度？
84°F或更高 100.0%
65°F或以下 <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$54,712 交易量
$54,712 交易量
2026-04-14
65°F或以下
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84°F或更高
是
84°F或更高 100.0%
65°F或以下 <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$54,712 交易量
$54,712 交易量
2026-04-14
65°F或以下
$1,588 交易量
否
66-67°F
$1,441 交易量
否
68-69°F
$5,370 交易量
否
70-71°F
$4,817 交易量
否
72-73°F
$6,381 交易量
否
74-75°F
$7,406 交易量
否
76-77°F
$3,156 交易量
否
78-79°F
$3,888 交易量
否
80-81°F
$5,637 交易量
否
82-83°F
$5,819 交易量
否
84°F或更高
$9,209 交易量
是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Austin Camp Mabry, the official station for such metrics, recorded a maximum temperature of 86°F on April 14 under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds gusting to 25 mph, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 84°F or higher. This reading, captured at 2:51 p.m. local time via automated surface observing system, aligns with a persistent warm pattern following March 2026's record heat, where highs have frequently exceeded seasonal norms of 78°F. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated above-average conditions due to a high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare data corrections from instrument calibration issues, though NWS preliminary reports are typically finalized without revision by market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 12, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$54,712结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Austin Camp Mabry, the official station for such metrics, recorded a maximum temperature of 86°F on April 14 under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds gusting to 25 mph, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 84°F or higher. This reading, captured at 2:51 p.m. local time via automated surface observing system, aligns with a persistent warm pattern following March 2026's record heat, where highs have frequently exceeded seasonal norms of 78°F. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated above-average conditions due to a high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare data corrections from instrument calibration issues, though NWS preliminary reports are typically finalized without revision by market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$54,712结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
National Weather Service observations at Austin Camp Mabry, the official station for such metrics, recorded a maximum temperature of 86°F on April 14 under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds gusting to 25 mph, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 84°F or higher. This reading, captured at 2:51 p.m. local time via automated surface observing system, aligns with a persistent warm pattern following March 2026's record heat, where highs have frequently exceeded seasonal norms of 78°F. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated above-average conditions due to a high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare data corrections from instrument calibration issues, though NWS preliminary reports are typically finalized without revision by market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题