Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international weather archives confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 14 reached exactly 17°C, based on calibrated thermometer readings from Esenboğa Airport and city-center stations, aligning with automated surface weather data. This precise match to the market's resolution criteria—verified within 48 hours of the event—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting the reliability of MGM's real-time monitoring network amid typical mid-April conditions of mild continental air masses. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare data audits revealing sensor calibration errors or post hoc revisions from quality control, though such corrections occur in under 1% of routine daily records historically. Traders await any final MGM bulletin, expected by April 17.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月14日安卡拉的最高温度？
4月14日安卡拉的最高温度？
17°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$135,882 交易量
$135,882 交易量
2026-04-14
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或更高
否
17°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$135,882 交易量
$135,882 交易量
2026-04-14
11°C或以下
$5,402 交易量
否
12°C
$1,947 交易量
否
13°C
$17,581 交易量
否
14°C
$17,894 交易量
否
15°C
$14,053 交易量
否
16°C
$23,324 交易量
否
17°C
$14,563 交易量
是
18°C
$19,691 交易量
否
19°C
$12,674 交易量
否
20°C
$4,575 交易量
否
21°C或更高
$4,177 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international weather archives confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 14 reached exactly 17°C, based on calibrated thermometer readings from Esenboğa Airport and city-center stations, aligning with automated surface weather data. This precise match to the market's resolution criteria—verified within 48 hours of the event—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting the reliability of MGM's real-time monitoring network amid typical mid-April conditions of mild continental air masses. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare data audits revealing sensor calibration errors or post hoc revisions from quality control, though such corrections occur in under 1% of routine daily records historically. Traders await any final MGM bulletin, expected by April 17.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
交易量
$135,882结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international weather archives confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 14 reached exactly 17°C, based on calibrated thermometer readings from Esenboğa Airport and city-center stations, aligning with automated surface weather data. This precise match to the market's resolution criteria—verified within 48 hours of the event—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting the reliability of MGM's real-time monitoring network amid typical mid-April conditions of mild continental air masses. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare data audits revealing sensor calibration errors or post hoc revisions from quality control, though such corrections occur in under 1% of routine daily records historically. Traders await any final MGM bulletin, expected by April 17.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$135,882结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international weather archives confirm Ankara's highest temperature on April 14 reached exactly 17°C, based on calibrated thermometer readings from Esenboğa Airport and city-center stations, aligning with automated surface weather data. This precise match to the market's resolution criteria—verified within 48 hours of the event—has driven trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting the reliability of MGM's real-time monitoring network amid typical mid-April conditions of mild continental air masses. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare data audits revealing sensor calibration errors or post hoc revisions from quality control, though such corrections occur in under 1% of routine daily records historically. Traders await any final MGM bulletin, expected by April 17.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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