Gold futures (GC) for end-June hover near $4,700/oz after a sharp pullback from $4,800 highs, reflecting trader consensus on a firmer U.S. dollar index around 99.5 and steady Fed funds target at 3.5%-3.75% post-March FOMC. Sustained central bank buying—net positive in February with 800-850 tonnes projected for 2026—bolsters the price floor amid de-dollarization trends, offsetting recent dollar strength and 10-year Treasury yields at 4.33%. Easing Middle East tensions have trimmed safe-haven bids, but key catalysts include March CPI on April 10, April FOMC (28-29), and June FOMC (16-17), where sticky inflation could elevate real yields and cap upside, while policy easing supports gold's appeal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$3,403,117 交易量
2026-06-30
↑ $10,000
1%
↑ $8,500
2%
↑ $9,000
2%
↑ 8,000美元
2%
↑ 7,000美元
3%
↑ $6,500
5%
↑ $6,200
9%
↑ $6,000
9%
↑ $5,700
20%
↑ $5,500
23%
↓ $4,200
40%
↓ $3,800
14%
↓ $3,400
4%
$3,403,117 交易量
↑ $10,000
$131,122 交易量
1%
↑ $8,500
$221,928 交易量
2%
↑ $9,000
$95,393 交易量
2%
↑ 8,000美元
$296,735 交易量
2%
↑ 7,000美元
$406,872 交易量
3%
↑ $6,500
$194,160 交易量
5%
↑ $6,200
$78,829 交易量
9%
↑ $6,000
$241,900 交易量
9%
↑ $5,700
$55,441 交易量
20%
↑ $5,500
$1,019,925 交易量
23%
↓ $4,200
$213,726 交易量
40%
↓ $3,800
$55,466 交易量
14%
↓ $3,400
$338,762 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) for end-June hover near $4,700/oz after a sharp pullback from $4,800 highs, reflecting trader consensus on a firmer U.S. dollar index around 99.5 and steady Fed funds target at 3.5%-3.75% post-March FOMC. Sustained central bank buying—net positive in February with 800-850 tonnes projected for 2026—bolsters the price floor amid de-dollarization trends, offsetting recent dollar strength and 10-year Treasury yields at 4.33%. Easing Middle East tensions have trimmed safe-haven bids, but key catalysts include March CPI on April 10, April FOMC (28-29), and June FOMC (16-17), where sticky inflation could elevate real yields and cap upside, while policy easing supports gold's appeal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
交易量
$3,403,117结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) for end-June hover near $4,700/oz after a sharp pullback from $4,800 highs, reflecting trader consensus on a firmer U.S. dollar index around 99.5 and steady Fed funds target at 3.5%-3.75% post-March FOMC. Sustained central bank buying—net positive in February with 800-850 tonnes projected for 2026—bolsters the price floor amid de-dollarization trends, offsetting recent dollar strength and 10-year Treasury yields at 4.33%. Easing Middle East tensions have trimmed safe-haven bids, but key catalysts include March CPI on April 10, April FOMC (28-29), and June FOMC (16-17), where sticky inflation could elevate real yields and cap upside, while policy easing supports gold's appeal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
交易量
$3,403,117结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETGold futures (GC) for end-June hover near $4,700/oz after a sharp pullback from $4,800 highs, reflecting trader consensus on a firmer U.S. dollar index around 99.5 and steady Fed funds target at 3.5%-3.75% post-March FOMC. Sustained central bank buying—net positive in February with 800-850 tonnes projected for 2026—bolsters the price floor amid de-dollarization trends, offsetting recent dollar strength and 10-year Treasury yields at 4.33%. Easing Middle East tensions have trimmed safe-haven bids, but key catalysts include March CPI on April 10, April FOMC (28-29), and June FOMC (16-17), where sticky inflation could elevate real yields and cap upside, while policy easing supports gold's appeal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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