Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35.3% implied probability following their commanding win at UMK on February 28, bolstered by recent staging tweaks announced March 9 that promise a dynamic live show, strong model projections, and early poll dominance amid completed national finals across Europe. France's operatic entry "Regarde" by Monroe climbed to 12.6% after its early March reveal, tying with Australia as jury vote favorites, while Denmark's "Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.7% on melodic appeal and odds momentum shifts last week. Traders eye pre-parties, OGAE voting, and Vienna rehearsals in May as key catalysts before the May 16 Grand Final, where televote surges could upend jury-leaning consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 35.3%
法国 12.6%
丹麦 11.7%
澳大利亚 8.0%
$46,378,344 交易量
$46,378,344 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
12%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
意大利
3%
乌克兰
2%
罗马尼亚
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
保加利亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
德国
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
卢森堡
1%
挪威
1%
塞尔维亚
1%
瑞士
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
芬兰 35.3%
法国 12.6%
丹麦 11.7%
澳大利亚 8.0%
$46,378,344 交易量
$46,378,344 交易量
芬兰
35%
法国
13%
丹麦
12%
澳大利亚
8%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
瑞典
4%
意大利
3%
乌克兰
2%
罗马尼亚
1%
马耳他
1%
捷克
1%
塞浦路斯
1%
保加利亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
德国
1%
英国
1%
比利时
1%
克罗地亚
1%
卢森堡
1%
挪威
1%
塞尔维亚
1%
瑞士
1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35.3% implied probability following their commanding win at UMK on February 28, bolstered by recent staging tweaks announced March 9 that promise a dynamic live show, strong model projections, and early poll dominance amid completed national finals across Europe. France's operatic entry "Regarde" by Monroe climbed to 12.6% after its early March reveal, tying with Australia as jury vote favorites, while Denmark's "Før vi går hjem" by Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 11.7% on melodic appeal and odds momentum shifts last week. Traders eye pre-parties, OGAE voting, and Vienna rehearsals in May as key catalysts before the May 16 Grand Final, where televote surges could upend jury-leaning consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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