Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Finland as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner at 38.8% implied probability, propelled by duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" crushing Finland's UMK national final last month with nearly triple the points of rivals, blending rock, violin virtuosity, and dance for broad jury-televote appeal. Early precursors like OGAE fan votes—where France awarded Finland 12 points—and forecast showcases reinforce this momentum, with the track topping charts alongside Denmark's Soren Torpegaard Lund entry. France (11.8%) and Denmark (10.8%) trail as strong contenders via polished pop deliveries and direct final qualification perks, but Finland's surge post-national selections underscores skin-in-the-game bets. Semifinals on May 12-14 in Vienna loom as pivotal qualifiers, where qualification risks and jury-televote splits could shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年欧洲电视网冠军
2026年欧洲电视网冠军
芬兰 38.6%
法国 11.8%
丹麦 10.8%
澳大利亚 6.9%
$65,691,009 交易量
$65,691,009 交易量
芬兰
39%
法国
12%
丹麦
11%
澳大利亚
7%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
罗马尼亚
3%
瑞典
3%
乌克兰
3%
意大利
3%
塞浦路斯
1%
捷克
1%
马耳他
1%
保加利亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
克罗地亚
1%
卢森堡
1%
立陶宛
1%
德国
<1%
挪威
<1%
瑞士
<1%
英国
<1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
比利时
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
芬兰 38.6%
法国 11.8%
丹麦 10.8%
澳大利亚 6.9%
$65,691,009 交易量
$65,691,009 交易量
芬兰
39%
法国
12%
丹麦
11%
澳大利亚
7%
希腊
7%
以色列
4%
罗马尼亚
3%
瑞典
3%
乌克兰
3%
意大利
3%
塞浦路斯
1%
捷克
1%
马耳他
1%
保加利亚
1%
摩尔多瓦
1%
克罗地亚
1%
卢森堡
1%
立陶宛
1%
德国
<1%
挪威
<1%
瑞士
<1%
英国
<1%
阿尔巴尼亚
<1%
比利时
<1%
亚美尼亚
<1%
阿塞拜疆
<1%
格鲁吉亚
<1%
黑山
<1%
波兰
<1%
塞尔维亚
<1%
奥地利
<1%
爱沙尼亚
<1%
拉脱维亚
<1%
葡萄牙
<1%
圣马力诺
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Finland as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner at 38.8% implied probability, propelled by duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" crushing Finland's UMK national final last month with nearly triple the points of rivals, blending rock, violin virtuosity, and dance for broad jury-televote appeal. Early precursors like OGAE fan votes—where France awarded Finland 12 points—and forecast showcases reinforce this momentum, with the track topping charts alongside Denmark's Soren Torpegaard Lund entry. France (11.8%) and Denmark (10.8%) trail as strong contenders via polished pop deliveries and direct final qualification perks, but Finland's surge post-national selections underscores skin-in-the-game bets. Semifinals on May 12-14 in Vienna loom as pivotal qualifiers, where qualification risks and jury-televote splits could shift dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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