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Democratic VP nominee?

Market icon

Democratic VP nominee?

Tim Walz 100.0%

Other Man (Incl. Peters) <1%

Other Woman <1%

Mark Cuban <1%

Polymarket

$128,499,432 交易量

Tim Walz 100.0%

Other Man (Incl. Peters) <1%

Other Woman <1%

Mark Cuban <1%

Polymarket

$128,499,432 交易量

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Other Man (Incl. Peters)

$5,287,493 交易量

No

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Other Woman

$3,398,043 交易量

No

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Mark Cuban

$2,283,640 交易量

No

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Tim Ryan

$1,416,479 交易量

No

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Kamala Harris

$4,557,221 交易量

No

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,023,366 交易量

No

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Gretchen Whitmer

$5,769,374 交易量

No

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Tammy Duckworth

$1,114,010 交易量

No

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Gavin Newsom

$4,256,456 交易量

No

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Raphael Warnock

$1,798,321 交易量

No

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Michelle Obama

$6,557,746 交易量

No

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Joe Biden

$1,726,224 交易量

No

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Elizabeth Warren

$1,222,768 交易量

No

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1,303,622 交易量

No

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J. B. Pritzker

$5,844,374 交易量

No

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Bernie Sanders

$1,042,389 交易量

No

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Amy Klobuchar

$1,064,503 交易量

No

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Hillary Clinton

$5,005,051 交易量

No

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Roy Cooper

$5,206,054 交易量

No

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Andy Beshear

$11,499,090 交易量

No

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Tim Walz

$12,902,914 交易量

Yes

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Barack Obama

$2,344,366 交易量

No

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Tammy Baldwin

$1,056,841 交易量

No

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Wes Moore

$2,649,254 交易量

No

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Josh Shapiro

$16,505,097 交易量

No

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Mark Kelly

$12,826,516 交易量

No

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William McRaven

$838,220 交易量

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$128,499,432
结束日期
Aug 22, 2024
市场开放时间
Jul 3, 2024, 2:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic VP nominee?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 27 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tim Walz" at 100%, followed by "Other Man (Incl. Peters)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic VP nominee?" has generated $128.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 3, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic VP nominee?," browse the 27 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic VP nominee?" is "Tim Walz" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Other Man (Incl. Peters)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic VP nominee?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.