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icon for Democratic VP nominee?
政治·拜登

Democratic VP nominee?

icon for Democratic VP nominee?
政治·拜登

Democratic VP nominee?

Tim Walz 100.0%

Kamala Harris <1%

Pete Buttigieg <1%

Gretchen Whitmer <1%

Polymarket

$128,499,432 交易量

Tim Walz 100.0%

Kamala Harris <1%

Pete Buttigieg <1%

Gretchen Whitmer <1%

Polymarket

$128,499,432 交易量

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$4,557,221 交易量

No

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$9,023,366 交易量

No

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$5,769,374 交易量

No

icon for Tammy Duckworth

Tammy Duckworth

$1,114,010 交易量

No

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$4,256,456 交易量

No

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$1,798,321 交易量

No

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$6,557,746 交易量

No

icon for Joe Biden

Joe Biden

$1,726,224 交易量

No

icon for Elizabeth Warren

Elizabeth Warren

$1,222,768 交易量

No

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1,303,622 交易量

No

icon for J. B. Pritzker

J. B. Pritzker

$5,844,374 交易量

No

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$1,042,389 交易量

No

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$1,064,503 交易量

No

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$5,005,051 交易量

No

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$5,206,054 交易量

No

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$11,499,090 交易量

No

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$12,902,914 交易量

Yes

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$2,344,366 交易量

No

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$2,649,254 交易量

No

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$16,505,097 交易量

No

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$12,826,516 交易量

No

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$2,283,640 交易量

No

icon for Tim Ryan

Tim Ryan

$1,416,479 交易量

No

icon for Tammy Baldwin

Tammy Baldwin

$1,056,841 交易量

No

icon for William McRaven

William McRaven

$838,220 交易量

No

icon for Other Man (Incl. Peters)

Other Man (Incl. Peters)

$5,287,493 交易量

No

icon for Other Woman

Other Woman

$3,398,043 交易量

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Buttigieg is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gretchen Whitmer is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tammy Duckworth is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raphael Warnock is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if J. B. Pritzker is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amy Klobuchar is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Roy Cooper is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Beshear is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Walz is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Barack Obama is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Wes Moore is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Josh Shapiro is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Kelly is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Cuban is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Ryan is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tammy Baldwin is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if William McRaven is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a man other than Mark Kelly, Josh Shapiro, Roy Cooper, Andy Beshear, Tim Walz, Pete Buttigieg, J. B. Prtizker, Mark Cuban, Wes Moore, Barack Obama, Gavin Newsom, Tim Ryan, Joe Biden, Raphael Warnock, William McRaven, or Bernie Sanders is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a woman other than Gretchen Whitmer, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Tammy Duckworth, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Tammy Baldwin, or Amy Klobuchar is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$128,499,432
结束日期
2024-08-22
市场开放时间
Jul 3, 2024, 2:10 PM ET

结算方

0x2F5e3684c...

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Buttigieg is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gretchen Whitmer is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tammy Duckworth is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Raphael Warnock is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if J. B. Pritzker is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amy Klobuchar is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Roy Cooper is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Beshear is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Walz is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Barack Obama is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Wes Moore is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Josh Shapiro is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Kelly is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Cuban is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Ryan is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tammy Baldwin is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if William McRaven is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a man other than Mark Kelly, Josh Shapiro, Roy Cooper, Andy Beshear, Tim Walz, Pete Buttigieg, J. B. Prtizker, Mark Cuban, Wes Moore, Barack Obama, Gavin Newsom, Tim Ryan, Joe Biden, Raphael Warnock, William McRaven, or Bernie Sanders is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a woman other than Gretchen Whitmer, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Tammy Duckworth, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Tammy Baldwin, or Amy Klobuchar is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the 2024 nominee of the Democratic Party for U.S. vice president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$128,499,432
结束日期
2024-08-22
市场开放时间
Jul 3, 2024, 2:10 PM ET

结算方

0x2F5e3684c...

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

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警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Democratic VP nominee?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 27 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Tim Walz"，概率为 100%，其次是"Kamala Harris"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Democratic VP nominee?"已产生 $128.5 million 的总交易量（自Jul 3, 2024市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Democratic VP nominee?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 27 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Democratic VP nominee?"的当前领先者是"Tim Walz"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Kamala Harris"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Democratic VP nominee?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。