Kamala Harris remains the sole viable female contender as Democratic nominee against Republican Donald Trump in the November 5 presidential election, yet trader consensus prices "No" at 80%, implying strong expectation of a male victor. Recent polling averages from RealClearPolitics and FiveThirtyEight show Trump leading nationally by 1-2 points and ahead in most swing states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Georgia, fueled by his post-debate momentum, high turnout among male voters, and resilience after assassination attempts. Harris holds edges with women and suburban demographics but struggles to expand beyond the Blue Wall. Early voting surges and final rallies underscore the closely contested battleground dynamics, with Electoral College math favoring Trump's path to 270 votes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
是
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
市场开放时间: Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Kamala Harris remains the sole viable female contender as Democratic nominee against Republican Donald Trump in the November 5 presidential election, yet trader consensus prices "No" at 80%, implying strong expectation of a male victor. Recent polling averages from RealClearPolitics and FiveThirtyEight show Trump leading nationally by 1-2 points and ahead in most swing states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Georgia, fueled by his post-debate momentum, high turnout among male voters, and resilience after assassination attempts. Harris holds edges with women and suburban demographics but struggles to expand beyond the Blue Wall. Early voting surges and final rallies underscore the closely contested battleground dynamics, with Electoral College math favoring Trump's path to 270 votes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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