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政治·墨西哥

克劳迪娅·谢恩鲍姆（ Claudia Sheinbaum ）在担任墨西哥总统之前

Market icon
政治·墨西哥

克劳迪娅·谢恩鲍姆（ Claudia Sheinbaum ）在担任墨西哥总统之前

$166,033 交易量

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$166,033 交易量

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$120,905 交易量

5%

2026年12月31日

$1,481 交易量

19%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Claudia Sheinbaum, Mexico's first female president, took office on October 1, 2024, for a fixed six-year term ending in 2030 with no reelection possible under the constitution. Recent judicial reforms proposing popular election of judges have sparked nationwide protests and a Supreme Court injunction, yet her Morena party holds supermajorities in Congress, ensuring policy continuity from predecessor Andrés Manuel López Obrador. No verified reports of resignation, impeachment, or instability threats have emerged in the past 30 days, with approval ratings remaining high around 75%. Traders weigh risks from US tariff threats post-January 2025 inauguration, cartel violence, and fiscal pressures, but view early departure as unlikely absent a major scandal or constitutional crisis. Key upcoming events include budget passage and US-Mexico diplomacy summits.

Claudia Sheinbaum, Mexico's first female president, took office on October 1, 2024, for a fixed six-year term ending in 2030 with no reelection possible under the constitution. Recent judicial reforms proposing popular election of judges have sparked nationwide protests and a Supreme Court injunction, yet her Morena party holds supermajorities in Congress, ensuring policy continuity from predecessor Andrés Manuel López Obrador. No verified reports of resignation, impeachment, or instability threats have emerged in the past 30 days, with approval ratings remaining high around 75%. Traders weigh risks from US tariff threats post-January 2025 inauguration, cartel violence, and fiscal pressures, but view early departure as unlikely absent a major scandal or constitutional crisis. Key upcoming events include budget passage and US-Mexico diplomacy summits.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Claudia Sheinbaum, Mexico's first female president, took office on October 1, 2024, for a fixed six-year term ending in 2030 with no reelection possible under the constitution. Recent judicial reforms proposing popular election of judges have sparked nationwide protests and a Supreme Court injunction, yet her Morena party holds supermajorities in Congress, ensuring policy continuity from predecessor Andrés Manuel López Obrador. No verified reports of resignation, impeachment, or instability threats have emerged in the past 30 days, with approval ratings remaining high around 75%. Traders weigh risks from US tariff threats post-January 2025 inauguration, cartel violence, and fiscal pressures, but view early departure as unlikely absent a major scandal or constitutional crisis. Key upcoming events include budget passage and US-Mexico diplomacy summits.

Claudia Sheinbaum, Mexico's first female president, took office on October 1, 2024, for a fixed six-year term ending in 2030 with no reelection possible under the constitution. Recent judicial reforms proposing popular election of judges have sparked nationwide protests and a Supreme Court injunction, yet her Morena party holds supermajorities in Congress, ensuring policy continuity from predecessor Andrés Manuel López Obrador. No verified reports of resignation, impeachment, or instability threats have emerged in the past 30 days, with approval ratings remaining high around 75%. Traders weigh risks from US tariff threats post-January 2025 inauguration, cartel violence, and fiscal pressures, but view early departure as unlikely absent a major scandal or constitutional crisis. Key upcoming events include budget passage and US-Mexico diplomacy summits.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"克劳迪娅·谢恩鲍姆（ Claudia Sheinbaum ）在担任墨西哥总统之前"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2026年12月31日"，概率为 19%，其次是"2026年6月30日"，概率为 5%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 19¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 19%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"克劳迪娅·谢恩鲍姆（ Claudia Sheinbaum ）在担任墨西哥总统之前"已产生 $166K 的总交易量（自Oct 27, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"克劳迪娅·谢恩鲍姆（ Claudia Sheinbaum ）在担任墨西哥总统之前"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"克劳迪娅·谢恩鲍姆（ Claudia Sheinbaum ）在担任墨西哥总统之前"的当前领先者是"2026年12月31日"，概率为 19%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 19%。紧随其后的结果是"2026年6月30日"，概率为 5%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"克劳迪娅·谢恩鲍姆（ Claudia Sheinbaum ）在担任墨西哥总统之前"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。