WTI crude oil (CL) futures have surged past $110/bbl in early April 2026, propelled by escalating Middle East tensions, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions amid U.S.-Iran frictions and skepticism over de-escalation signals, adding a sharp geopolitical risk premium. Despite this, June 2026 contracts trade around $98/bbl, reflecting trader consensus for a cooldown as OPEC+ maintains production pauses through Q1 and U.S. inventories swelled 5.5 million barrels to 461.6 million in late March. Building stockpiles and forecasts of softer demand from China signal potential price normalization by quarter-end, with weekly EIA reports—next on April 8—and OPEC+ policy reviews as key catalysts ahead of June settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于原油（ CL ）高于6月底的___ ？
原油（ CL ）高于6月底的___ ？
$80,050 交易量
2026-06-30
90美元
56%
85美元
65%
80美元
70%
75美元
76%
70美元
80%
65美元
85%
63美元
88%
60美元
89%
56美元
93%
$55
93%
52美元
96%
50美元
94%
$80,050 交易量
90美元
$18,892 交易量
56%
85美元
$4,057 交易量
65%
80美元
$4,795 交易量
70%
75美元
$3,643 交易量
76%
70美元
$19,183 交易量
80%
65美元
$582 交易量
85%
63美元
$8,267 交易量
88%
60美元
$12,109 交易量
89%
56美元
$3,297 交易量
93%
$55
$1,901 交易量
93%
52美元
$1,448 交易量
96%
50美元
$1,877 交易量
94%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil (CL) futures have surged past $110/bbl in early April 2026, propelled by escalating Middle East tensions, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions amid U.S.-Iran frictions and skepticism over de-escalation signals, adding a sharp geopolitical risk premium. Despite this, June 2026 contracts trade around $98/bbl, reflecting trader consensus for a cooldown as OPEC+ maintains production pauses through Q1 and U.S. inventories swelled 5.5 million barrels to 461.6 million in late March. Building stockpiles and forecasts of softer demand from China signal potential price normalization by quarter-end, with weekly EIA reports—next on April 8—and OPEC+ policy reviews as key catalysts ahead of June settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$80,050结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil (CL) futures have surged past $110/bbl in early April 2026, propelled by escalating Middle East tensions, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions amid U.S.-Iran frictions and skepticism over de-escalation signals, adding a sharp geopolitical risk premium. Despite this, June 2026 contracts trade around $98/bbl, reflecting trader consensus for a cooldown as OPEC+ maintains production pauses through Q1 and U.S. inventories swelled 5.5 million barrels to 461.6 million in late March. Building stockpiles and forecasts of softer demand from China signal potential price normalization by quarter-end, with weekly EIA reports—next on April 8—and OPEC+ policy reviews as key catalysts ahead of June settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$80,050结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETWTI crude oil (CL) futures have surged past $110/bbl in early April 2026, propelled by escalating Middle East tensions, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions amid U.S.-Iran frictions and skepticism over de-escalation signals, adding a sharp geopolitical risk premium. Despite this, June 2026 contracts trade around $98/bbl, reflecting trader consensus for a cooldown as OPEC+ maintains production pauses through Q1 and U.S. inventories swelled 5.5 million barrels to 461.6 million in late March. Building stockpiles and forecasts of softer demand from China signal potential price normalization by quarter-end, with weekly EIA reports—next on April 8—and OPEC+ policy reviews as key catalysts ahead of June settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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