Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest 35% probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing above $185 on March 16, reflecting caution amid volatile tech sector rotation despite the stock's recent 2% gain to $182 following softer-than-expected February CPI data. Key drivers include AWS cloud dominance and AI capex momentum from Q4 earnings, offset by broader market pressures from persistent inflation signals and upcoming FOMC rate decision on March 20, where dot plot revisions could sway risk appetite. With AMZN trading near the strike after a 25% YTD rally, traders eye intraday volatility from retail sales data on March 15; a close above $185 requires sustained buying above $183 resistance to overcome profit-taking dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$5,138 交易量
2026-03-16
$200
是
205美元
是
210美元
是
215美元
否
220美元
否
$5,138 交易量
$200
$0 交易量
是
205美元
$0 交易量
是
210美元
$5,138 交易量
是
215美元
$0 交易量
否
220美元
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on March 16 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest 35% probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing above $185 on March 16, reflecting caution amid volatile tech sector rotation despite the stock's recent 2% gain to $182 following softer-than-expected February CPI data. Key drivers include AWS cloud dominance and AI capex momentum from Q4 earnings, offset by broader market pressures from persistent inflation signals and upcoming FOMC rate decision on March 20, where dot plot revisions could sway risk appetite. With AMZN trading near the strike after a 25% YTD rally, traders eye intraday volatility from retail sales data on March 15; a close above $185 requires sustained buying above $183 resistance to overcome profit-taking dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on March 16 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间： Mar 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
交易量
$5,138结束日期
2026-03-16市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on March 16 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest 35% probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing above $185 on March 16, reflecting caution amid volatile tech sector rotation despite the stock's recent 2% gain to $182 following softer-than-expected February CPI data. Key drivers include AWS cloud dominance and AI capex momentum from Q4 earnings, offset by broader market pressures from persistent inflation signals and upcoming FOMC rate decision on March 20, where dot plot revisions could sway risk appetite. With AMZN trading near the strike after a 25% YTD rally, traders eye intraday volatility from retail sales data on March 15; a close above $185 requires sustained buying above $183 resistance to overcome profit-taking dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on March 16 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$5,138结束日期
2026-03-16市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest 35% probability for Amazon (AMZN) closing above $185 on March 16, reflecting caution amid volatile tech sector rotation despite the stock's recent 2% gain to $182 following softer-than-expected February CPI data. Key drivers include AWS cloud dominance and AI capex momentum from Q4 earnings, offset by broader market pressures from persistent inflation signals and upcoming FOMC rate decision on March 20, where dot plot revisions could sway risk appetite. With AMZN trading near the strike after a 25% YTD rally, traders eye intraday volatility from retail sales data on March 15; a close above $185 requires sustained buying above $183 resistance to overcome profit-taking dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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