Hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico hold automatic berths for the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup, forming the core of trader consensus with three locked-in slots. CONMEBOL leaders Argentina (25 points from 13 matches) and Brazil (21) dominate qualification standings, but recent stumbles by Uruguay and Chile have inflated odds for Venezuela's surprise push. AFC third-round openers favor Japan, Iran, and South Korea atop groups, while CAF group frontrunners like Senegal, Egypt, and Algeria navigate tight battles post-second-round draws. OFC's New Zealand eyes direct qualification. Upcoming November windows and UEFA's March 2025 start introduce volatility, with intercontinental playoffs hinging on runner-up finishes and rankings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1,151,752 交易量
意大利
66%
刚果民主共和国
70%
土耳其
56%
伊拉克
54%
分组项标题:丹麦
52%
波兰
38%
苏里南
25%
牙买加
37%
瑞典
33%
捷克共和国
31%
玻利维亚
23%
斯洛伐克
29%
乌克兰
28%
威尔士
28%
分组项标题:爱尔兰
22%
科索沃
15%
分组项标题:波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那
14%
Albania
13%
罗马尼亚
12%
北爱尔兰
8%
北马其顿
7%
新喀里多尼亚
3%
$1,151,752 交易量
意大利
66%
刚果民主共和国
70%
土耳其
56%
伊拉克
54%
分组项标题:丹麦
52%
波兰
38%
苏里南
25%
牙买加
37%
瑞典
33%
捷克共和国
31%
玻利维亚
23%
斯洛伐克
29%
乌克兰
28%
威尔士
28%
分组项标题:爱尔兰
22%
科索沃
15%
分组项标题:波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那
14%
Albania
13%
罗马尼亚
12%
北爱尔兰
8%
北马其顿
7%
新喀里多尼亚
3%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).
市场开放时间: Dec 9, 2025, 2:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico hold automatic berths for the expanded 48-team 2026 FIFA World Cup, forming the core of trader consensus with three locked-in slots. CONMEBOL leaders Argentina (25 points from 13 matches) and Brazil (21) dominate qualification standings, but recent stumbles by Uruguay and Chile have inflated odds for Venezuela's surprise push. AFC third-round openers favor Japan, Iran, and South Korea atop groups, while CAF group frontrunners like Senegal, Egypt, and Algeria navigate tight battles post-second-round draws. OFC's New Zealand eyes direct qualification. Upcoming November windows and UEFA's March 2025 start introduce volatility, with intercontinental playoffs hinging on runner-up finishes and rankings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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