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预测与赔率

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Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

50%

<4m sq km

$51.5K 交易量

$19.4K Liq.

6

Ends 4 个月内

Highest temperature in Seattle on May 27?

Highest temperature in Seattle on May 27?

100%

74-75°F

$85.8K 交易量

$50.0K today

$108K Liq.

Ends 大约 20 小时前

Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?

Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?

2%

$88.0K 交易量

$2.0K Liq.

2

Ends 3 个月内

Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?

Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?

3%

$40.9K 交易量

$14.2K Liq.

1

Ends 3 个月内

Valorant: 9z Team vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season

Valorant: 9z Team vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season

89%

9z Team

$26.5K 交易量

$9.0K Liq.

Ends 大约 20 小时内

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

3%

$141K 交易量

$13.6K Liq.

15

Ends 5 个月内

Who will die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Who will die in Euphoria: Season 3?

100%

Nate Jacobs

$360K 交易量

$40.6K Liq.

38

Ends 3 天内

Highest temperature in Seattle on May 29?

Highest temperature in Seattle on May 29?

32%

60-61°F

$9.8K 交易量

$34.2K Liq.

Ends 1 天内

Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season

Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season

100%

Asterisk

$5.3K 交易量

$1M Liq.

Ends 3 天前

Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?

Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?

1%

$170K 交易量

$6.8K Liq.

3

Ends 大约 2 个月前

LCK 2026 Season Winner

LCK 2026 Season Winner

43%

Gen.G Esports

$3M 交易量

$89.4K Liq.

7

Ends 7 个月内

Precipitation in Seattle in May?

Precipitation in Seattle in May?

73%

0.5-1"

$4.6K 交易量

$17.1K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

Who will buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Who will buy the Seattle Seahawks?

24%

Jeff Bezos

$195K 交易量

$31.2K Liq.

2

Ends 3 个月内

Highest temperature in Seattle on May 28?

Highest temperature in Seattle on May 28?

100%

64°F or higher

$6.9K 交易量

$82.1K Liq.

Ends 大约 4 小时内

Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?

Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?

7%

$171K 交易量

$1.6K Liq.

2

Ends 3 个月内

LPL 2026 Season Winner

LPL 2026 Season Winner

63%

Bilibili Gaming

$811K 交易量

$86.3K Liq.

13

Highest temperature in Seattle on May 30?

Highest temperature in Seattle on May 30?

75%

63°F or below

$554 交易量

$29.9K Liq.

Ends 2 天内

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

1%

$346K 交易量

$4.9K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

Valorant: OXEN vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season

Valorant: OXEN vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season

69%

KRÜ Spark

$569 交易量

$6.1K Liq.

Ends 大约 17 小时内

 Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

59%

$53.2K 交易量

$4.4K Liq.

9

Ends 7 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 海 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 312 个活跃的 海 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $5.9M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"LCK 2026 Season Winner",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"LCK 2026 Season Winner",市场目前认为 Gen.G Esports 的概率为 43%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 海 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。