Market icon
科技·Apple

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

Market icon
科技·Apple

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?

Ended: 3月 31

4月 3

Ended: 3月 31

4月 3

Claude by Anthropic 100.0%

ChatGPT <1%

MLB <1%

Google <1%

Polymarket

$11,639 交易量

Claude by Anthropic 100.0%

ChatGPT <1%

MLB <1%

Google <1%

Polymarket

$11,639 交易量

Market icon

ChatGPT

$1,162 交易量

No

Market icon

MLB

$888 交易量

No

Market icon

Google

$1,876 交易量

No

Market icon

NCAA March Madness Live

$875 交易量

No

Market icon

MyTSA

$955 交易量

No

Market icon

Google Gemini

$987 交易量

No

Market icon

Claude by Anthropic

$2,906 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$791 交易量

No

Market icon

Threads

$1,197 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to Claude by Anthropic securing the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on March 31, 2026, mirroring live charts where it trails only ChatGPT while leading The White House and Google Gemini. This positioning stems from Claude's sustained download surge since late February, fueled by the Claude Opus 4.6 model's top benchmark rankings over GPT-5.2, enhanced AI capabilities in coding and reasoning, and publicity from Anthropic's Pentagon dispute that boosted visibility without derailing momentum. App Store volatility from MLB's seasonal push or Threads' engagement spikes could theoretically challenge it in the final hours, but entrenched trader capital reflects confidence in its stability absent major catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$11,639
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to Claude by Anthropic securing the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on March 31, 2026, mirroring live charts where it trails only ChatGPT while leading The White House and Google Gemini. This positioning stems from Claude's sustained download surge since late February, fueled by the Claude Opus 4.6 model's top benchmark rankings over GPT-5.2, enhanced AI capabilities in coding and reasoning, and publicity from Anthropic's Pentagon dispute that boosted visibility without derailing momentum. App Store volatility from MLB's seasonal push or Threads' engagement spikes could theoretically challenge it in the final hours, but entrenched trader capital reflects confidence in its stability absent major catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$11,639
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Claude by Anthropic"，概率为 100%，其次是"ChatGPT"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?"已产生 $11.6K 的总交易量（自Mar 27, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?"的当前领先者是"Claude by Anthropic"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"ChatGPT"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。