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對帳 預測與賠率

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Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

85%

May 31

$40.9K 交易量

$17.3K Liq.

Ends 14 天內

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$4.2K 交易量

$177K Liq.

2

Ends 8 個月內

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

41%

Baby

$10.8K 交易量

$345 Liq.

Ends 大約 4 小時前

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

93%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$283 交易量

$3.9K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

32%

June 30

$150K 交易量

$519 Liq.

30

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$92.7K 交易量

$4.0K Liq.

2

Ends 8 個月內

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

77%

December 31

$508K 交易量

$24.3K Liq.

46

Ends 17 天前

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

-

$29.4K 交易量

17

Ends 29 天前

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

14%

June 30

$4M 交易量

$17.2K Liq.

980

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Counter-Strike: regain vs True Synergy Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: regain vs True Synergy Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs

100%

regain

$772 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月前

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

9%

$2M 交易量

$44.1K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

38%

Boeing Aircraft Purchase

$174K 交易量

$83.7K Liq.

34

Ends 5 天內

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

82%

June 30

$28.7K 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing Ever Happens: May

89%

Nothing

$85.4K 交易量

$11.5K Liq.

Ends 14 天內

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

43%

Starmer - UK PM

$353K 交易量

$266K Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

48%

June 30

$18M 交易量

$333K today

$240K Liq.

474

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

44%

80-99

$7.1K 交易量

$4.3K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

35%

80-99

$833 交易量

$2.5K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

What will Trump say this week? (May 24)

90%

China

$2.3K 交易量

$11.1K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

20%

$1.9K 交易量

$10.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 對帳.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for 對帳 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $25.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: May”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 48% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 對帳 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.