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特朗普-習近平峯會:中國將在5月22日前宣布什麼?

icon for 特朗普-習近平峯會:中國將在5月22日前宣布什麼?

特朗普-習近平峯會:中國將在5月22日前宣布什麼?

$426,315 交易量

2026-05-22
Polymarket

$426,315 交易量

Polymarket

參與伊朗談判

$60,423 交易量

波音飛機採購

$200,012 交易量

美國大豆購買

$55,188 交易量

美國石油購買

$55,060 交易量

稀土出口放寬

$55,633 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of at least one Boeing aircraft by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase or order, or has definitively agreed to purchase or order, at least one Boeing aircraft. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase or order announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the aircraft is delivered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of U.S. soybeans by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase, or has definitively agreed to purchase, U.S. soybeans. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for trade cooperation, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the soybeans are delivered. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of U.S. oil by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase, or has definitively agreed to purchase, U.S. oil. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the oil is delivered. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces rare earth export relief for the United States between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Rare earth export relief includes any reduction, removal, or suspension of Chinese export controls or export restrictions affecting the export of rare earth elements, minerals, magnets, or related products to the United States. The extension of an existing Chinese commitment to allow exports of, or suspend export controls on, rare-earth materials to the United States (e.g. the rare earth export deal reached by the United States and China in October 2025) will also qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the rare earth export relief goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The May 14–15 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing produced immediate post-meeting readouts highlighting U.S.-China trade measures, including Chinese purchases of American soybeans, expanded access to rare earth minerals, and references to tariff adjustments. U.S. statements emphasized concrete commercial gains and a planned reciprocal visit by Xi later in the year, while Chinese accounts focused on broader cooperation frameworks and stability. Analysts noted minor differences in emphasis between the two sides’ summaries on agriculture and critical minerals but viewed them as consistent with standard diplomatic positioning. No major additional Chinese announcements emerged between the summit’s conclusion and the May 22 cutoff, leaving trader assessments anchored on these verified bilateral commitments and the absence of unexpected escalatory or breakthrough statements on Taiwan, Iran-related issues, or new sanctions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$426,315
結束日期
2026-05-22
市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of at least one Boeing aircraft by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase or order, or has definitively agreed to purchase or order, at least one Boeing aircraft. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase or order announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the aircraft is delivered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of U.S. soybeans by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase, or has definitively agreed to purchase, U.S. soybeans. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for trade cooperation, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the soybeans are delivered. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces the purchase of U.S. oil by the Chinese state or any Chinese company between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must indicate that the Chinese government or a Chinese company will purchase, or has definitively agreed to purchase, U.S. oil. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying purchase announced within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the purchase is actually completed or the oil is delivered. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces rare earth export relief for the United States between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Rare earth export relief includes any reduction, removal, or suspension of Chinese export controls or export restrictions affecting the export of rare earth elements, minerals, magnets, or related products to the United States. The extension of an existing Chinese commitment to allow exports of, or suspend export controls on, rare-earth materials to the United States (e.g. the rare earth export deal reached by the United States and China in October 2025) will also qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the rare earth export relief goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The May 14–15 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing produced immediate post-meeting readouts highlighting U.S.-China trade measures, including Chinese purchases of American soybeans, expanded access to rare earth minerals, and references to tariff adjustments. U.S. statements emphasized concrete commercial gains and a planned reciprocal visit by Xi later in the year, while Chinese accounts focused on broader cooperation frameworks and stability. Analysts noted minor differences in emphasis between the two sides’ summaries on agriculture and critical minerals but viewed them as consistent with standard diplomatic positioning. No major additional Chinese announcements emerged between the summit’s conclusion and the May 22 cutoff, leaving trader assessments anchored on these verified bilateral commitments and the absence of unexpected escalatory or breakthrough statements on Taiwan, Iran-related issues, or new sanctions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States.

Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.

Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$426,315
結束日期
2026-05-22
市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Xi Jinping, the Chinese government, or any authorized representative of the Chinese government announces that China will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that the Chinese government will participate in or facilitate negotiations between the United States and Iran, including by mediating negotiations, hosting a diplomatic meeting, transmitting proposals or messages between the parties, or negotiating with Iran on behalf of the United States. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, general support for diplomacy, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the negotiations take place. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普-習近平峯會:中國將在5月22日前宣布什麼?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "波音飛機採購" at 100%, followed by "參與伊朗談判" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普-習近平峯會:中國將在5月22日前宣布什麼?" has generated $426.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普-習近平峯會:中國將在5月22日前宣布什麼?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普-習近平峯會:中國將在5月22日前宣布什麼?" is "波音飛機採購" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "參與伊朗談判" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普-習近平峯會:中國將在5月22日前宣布什麼?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.