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OpenGradient 預測與賠率

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SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

93%

SpaceX

$7.7K 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

5

Ends 超過 1 年內

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

88%

$49.5K 交易量

$10.0K Liq.

14

Ends 8 個月內

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

94%

September 30

$6.6K 交易量

$14.3K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

74%

$800B

$1M 交易量

$7.5K Liq.

2

Ends 超過 1 年內

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

90%

July 31

$21.9K 交易量

$19.4K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

3%

$104K 交易量

$17.5K Liq.

2

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

14%

June 30

$363K 交易量

$6.6K Liq.

19

Ends 10 天前

Overwatch: VARREL vs T1 (BO3) - OCS Asia Stage 1 Playoffs

Overwatch: VARREL vs T1 (BO3) - OCS Asia Stage 1 Playoffs

50%

T1

$169 交易量

$198 Liq.

Ends 大約 10 小時內

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

72%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2M 交易量

$20.7K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Joblife GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby

$8.3K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 3 個月前

Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above___?

Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 11 above___?

94%

$2.50

$10 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

42%

1.5T+

$16.3K 交易量

$30.7K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Opendoor (OPEN) closes week of May 11 at ___?

Opendoor (OPEN) closes week of May 11 at ___?

49%

$5.00-$6.00

$3.2K 交易量

$16.9K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

80%

1450+

$102K 交易量

$6.1K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Overwatch: Solus Victorem vs Naive Piggy (BO3) - OCS China Stage 1 Round Robin Stage

Overwatch: Solus Victorem vs Naive Piggy (BO3) - OCS China Stage 1 Round Robin Stage

100%

Solus Victorem

$762 交易量

$1 Liq.

Ends 28 天前

Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

59%

Sashi Esport

$146 交易量

$1.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 15 小時內

Counter-Strike: OldBoys vs hindsight (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: OldBoys vs hindsight (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

OldBoys

$65 交易量

Ends 24 天前

Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

51%

Prestige

$0 交易量

$682 Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs OLDBOYS- (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs OLDBOYS- (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

55%

OLDBOYS-

$10 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

100%

REKONIX

$279K 交易量

Ends 27 天前

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like OpenGradient.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for OpenGradient that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 72% chance to No IPO by December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on OpenGradient predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.