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公理 預測與賠率

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Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?

Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?

14%

December 31, 2026

$192K 交易量

$3.1K Liq.

24

Ends 4 個月前

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

71%

$554K 交易量

$22.9K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

9%

$50.8K 交易量

$10.1K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

43%

Pentagon

$7.7K 交易量

$644 Liq.

7

Ends 大約 6 小時內

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

51%

Anthropic

$77.2K 交易量

$65.9K Liq.

Ends 21 天內

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

57%

1440+

$29.0K 交易量

$6.4K Liq.

2

Ends 8 個月內

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K 交易量

$121 Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

34%

Venezuela

$7.6K 交易量

$427 Liq.

Ends 大約 6 小時內

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

49%

↑ 16

$37.4K 交易量

$11.0K Liq.

5

Ends 8 個月內

What price will Chainlink hit in May?

What price will Chainlink hit in May?

20%

↓ 8

$1.4K 交易量

$6.5K Liq.

Ends 22 天內

Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Bushido Wildcats (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Bushido Wildcats (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

BASEMENT BOYS

$498 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 3 個月前

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

90%

$9.1K 交易量

$3.2K Liq.

2

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 11-17?

93%

OpenAI

$8.9K 交易量

$19.0K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

65%

1550

$2.5K 交易量

$630 Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?

6%

$3.9K 交易量

$2.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

56%

↑ 85,000

$10M 交易量

$783K today

$3M Liq.

2

Ends 22 天內

Francavilla: Gustavo Heide vs Facundo Acosta

Francavilla: Gustavo Heide vs Facundo Acosta

54%

Facundo Acosta

$107 交易量

$5.7K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 4-10?

Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue May 4-10?

99%

OpenAI

$19.6K 交易量

$29.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 6 小時內

What price will Bitcoin hit on May 9?

What price will Bitcoin hit on May 9?

77%

↑ 81,000

$62.8K 交易量

$62.8K today

$127K Liq.

Ends 大約 10 小時內

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$107K 交易量

$8.6K Liq.

5

Ends 8 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 公理.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for 公理 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 80,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 公理 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.