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政治·主要

WA-03主要優勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

WA-03主要優勝者

最新
2026-08-04
Polymarket

$4,754 交易量

Polymarket

瑪麗·格魯森坎普·佩雷斯

$3,657 交易量

92%

約翰·布勞恩

$1,097 交易量

82%

Antony Barran

$0 交易量

30%

Brent Hennrich

$0 交易量

21%

Lawrence Kellogg

$0 交易量

10%

Eric Vaughan

$0 交易量

9%

Suzzanna V. Tanner

$0 交易量

38%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Pérez leads fundraising with over $2.4 million cash on hand entering Washington's 3rd Congressional District's top-two primary on August 4, 2026, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party in this R+2 swing district rated a Toss-up by Cook Political Report. Democrat challenger Brent Hennrich launched his bid yesterday with a standing-room-only Vancouver rally, intensifying the contest alongside Republicans John Braun—state Senate Minority Leader with $700,000 cash—and Wadi Yakhour, plus independents Antony Barran, Eric Vaughan, and Suzzanna V. Tanner. Filing deadline is May 8, amid past close races where Pérez narrowly topped Joe Kent in 2024 primaries and generals, setting up trader focus on vote splits and turnout in battleground Southwest Washington.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$4,754
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Pérez leads fundraising with over $2.4 million cash on hand entering Washington's 3rd Congressional District's top-two primary on August 4, 2026, where the top two vote-getters advance regardless of party in this R+2 swing district rated a Toss-up by Cook Political Report. Democrat challenger Brent Hennrich launched his bid yesterday with a standing-room-only Vancouver rally, intensifying the contest alongside Republicans John Braun—state Senate Minority Leader with $700,000 cash—and Wadi Yakhour, plus independents Antony Barran, Eric Vaughan, and Suzzanna V. Tanner. Filing deadline is May 8, amid past close races where Pérez narrowly topped Joe Kent in 2024 primaries and generals, setting up trader focus on vote splits and turnout in battleground Southwest Washington.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$4,754
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"WA-03主要優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "瑪麗·格魯森坎普·佩雷斯" at 92%, followed by "約翰·布勞恩" at 82%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"WA-03主要優勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 18, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "WA-03主要優勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WA-03主要優勝者" is "瑪麗·格魯森坎普·佩雷斯" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "約翰·布勞恩" at 82%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WA-03主要優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.