Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of March 16 below $375 at 100% implied probability, reflecting the stock's recent plunge to around $349 amid a 13% post-Q1 delivery miss—336,800 vehicles versus consensus 377,000—highlighting softening EV demand, intensifying Chinese competition, and tariff uncertainties. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, underscores limited upside catalysts ahead of the March 21 close, with shares trading at a forward P/E of 90x amid macroeconomic headwinds like higher interest rates curbing auto financing. A realistic challenge would require blockbuster news, such as upbeat Robotaxi updates or surprise China sales rebound, to spark a 7%+ rally, though historical weekly volatility rarely exceeds 10% absent major triggers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於<$375 100.0%
$375-$380 <1%
$380-$385 <1%
$385-$390 <1%
$102,249 交易量
$102,249 交易量
<$375
Yes
$375-$380
No
$380-$385
No
$385-$390
No
$390-$395
No
$395-$400
No
$400-$405
No
$405-$410
No
$410-$415
No
$415-$420
No
>$420
No
<$375 100.0%
$375-$380 <1%
$380-$385 <1%
$385-$390 <1%
$102,249 交易量
$102,249 交易量
<$375
Yes
$375-$380
No
$380-$385
No
$385-$390
No
$390-$395
No
$395-$400
No
$400-$405
No
$405-$410
No
$410-$415
No
$415-$420
No
>$420
No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間: Mar 9, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price Tesla (TSLA) closing the week of March 16 below $375 at 100% implied probability, reflecting the stock's recent plunge to around $349 amid a 13% post-Q1 delivery miss—336,800 vehicles versus consensus 377,000—highlighting softening EV demand, intensifying Chinese competition, and tariff uncertainties. This trader consensus, backed by real capital, underscores limited upside catalysts ahead of the March 21 close, with shares trading at a forward P/E of 90x amid macroeconomic headwinds like higher interest rates curbing auto financing. A realistic challenge would require blockbuster news, such as upbeat Robotaxi updates or surprise China sales rebound, to spark a 7%+ rally, though historical weekly volatility rarely exceeds 10% absent major triggers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions