Trader sentiment on Polymarket leans bearish for Palantir (PLTR), pricing a 30% implied probability of closing the week of March 23 below $146, amid profit-taking after a 15% post-Q4 earnings rally that saw shares hit $160 intraday on surging commercial AI revenue growth to 40% YoY. The wide dispersion across price buckets reflects uncertainty from overbought technicals (RSI above 75), elevated valuation at 50x forward sales versus peers, and macro headwinds like persistent inflation data ahead of the March 19 FOMC meeting potentially delaying rate cuts. Bullish tail at 17.5% odds above $164 hinges on positive updates to the AIP platform adoption or government contract wins, outweighing insider selling pressures, with trader capital highlighting low conviction in a narrow range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於低於146美元 30%
>$164 18%
$150-$152 11%
146-148美元 11%
低於146美元
30%
146-148美元
11%
$148-$150
11%
$150-$152
11%
$152-$154
11%
$154-$156
10%
$156-$158
10%
$158-$160
9%
$160-$162
7%
$162-$164
8%
>$164
18%
低於146美元 30%
>$164 18%
$150-$152 11%
146-148美元 11%
低於146美元
30%
146-148美元
11%
$148-$150
11%
$150-$152
11%
$152-$154
11%
$154-$156
10%
$156-$158
10%
$158-$160
9%
$160-$162
7%
$162-$164
8%
>$164
18%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Palantir (PLTR) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket leans bearish for Palantir (PLTR), pricing a 30% implied probability of closing the week of March 23 below $146, amid profit-taking after a 15% post-Q4 earnings rally that saw shares hit $160 intraday on surging commercial AI revenue growth to 40% YoY. The wide dispersion across price buckets reflects uncertainty from overbought technicals (RSI above 75), elevated valuation at 50x forward sales versus peers, and macro headwinds like persistent inflation data ahead of the March 19 FOMC meeting potentially delaying rate cuts. Bullish tail at 17.5% odds above $164 hinges on positive updates to the AIP platform adoption or government contract wins, outweighing insider selling pressures, with trader capital highlighting low conviction in a narrow range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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