Silver Bulletin's polling average, the market's resolution source, shows President Trump's job approval rating at 39.2% on April 3, 2026—the first time below 40% in his second term—with net approval at -16.9 amid the Iran war's escalation, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions slashing oil transit and driving gas prices above $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022. Economic handling approval hit a record-low net -23, fueled by rising mortgage rates and weak job growth revisions, eroding support even among Republicans and independents. Traders' near-unanimous consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of recent polls, though a late data revision or new survey could marginally shift the exact bin before finalization.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Trump approval rating on April 3?
Trump approval rating on April 3?
39.0–39.4 99.6%
39.5–39.9 <1%
<39.0 <1%
40.0–40.4 <1%
$203,605 交易量
$203,605 交易量
2026-04-04
<39.0
<1%
39.0–39.4
100%
39.5–39.9
<1%
40.0–40.4
<1%
40.5–40.9
<1%
41.0+
<1%
39.0–39.4 99.6%
39.5–39.9 <1%
<39.0 <1%
40.0–40.4 <1%
$203,605 交易量
$203,605 交易量
2026-04-04
<39.0
$22,253 交易量
<1%
39.0–39.4
$25,879 交易量
100%
39.5–39.9
$70,178 交易量
<1%
40.0–40.4
$62,979 交易量
<1%
40.5–40.9
$12,887 交易量
<1%
41.0+
$9,430 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Silver Bulletin's polling average, the market's resolution source, shows President Trump's job approval rating at 39.2% on April 3, 2026—the first time below 40% in his second term—with net approval at -16.9 amid the Iran war's escalation, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions slashing oil transit and driving gas prices above $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022. Economic handling approval hit a record-low net -23, fueled by rising mortgage rates and weak job growth revisions, eroding support even among Republicans and independents. Traders' near-unanimous consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of recent polls, though a late data revision or new survey could marginally shift the exact bin before finalization.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間： Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
交易量
$203,605結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Silver Bulletin's polling average, the market's resolution source, shows President Trump's job approval rating at 39.2% on April 3, 2026—the first time below 40% in his second term—with net approval at -16.9 amid the Iran war's escalation, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions slashing oil transit and driving gas prices above $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022. Economic handling approval hit a record-low net -23, fueled by rising mortgage rates and weak job growth revisions, eroding support even among Republicans and independents. Traders' near-unanimous consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of recent polls, though a late data revision or new survey could marginally shift the exact bin before finalization.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$203,605結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Silver Bulletin's polling average, the market's resolution source, shows President Trump's job approval rating at 39.2% on April 3, 2026—the first time below 40% in his second term—with net approval at -16.9 amid the Iran war's escalation, including Strait of Hormuz disruptions slashing oil transit and driving gas prices above $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022. Economic handling approval hit a record-low net -23, fueled by rising mortgage rates and weak job growth revisions, eroding support even among Republicans and independents. Traders' near-unanimous consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment of recent polls, though a late data revision or new survey could marginally shift the exact bin before finalization.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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