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西班牙在2026年提前舉行大選?

Market icon

西班牙在2026年提前舉行大選?

22% 機率
Polymarket

$15,165 交易量

22% 機率
Polymarket

$15,165 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's firm rejection of snap elections, coupled with his intent to serve the full legislative term until general elections by August 2027, anchors trader consensus at 78% for "No," despite fresh charges on April 13 against his wife for influence peddling and corruption that have intensified PP opposition calls. PSOE's minority coalition, backed by Sumar and regional parties like ERC, remains intact amid strong economic growth—2.8% projected for 2026—and decree approvals such as January's mass regularization for 500,000 undocumented immigrants. Recent regional losses, including Castilla y León's March vote where PP held power and Vox gained seats, signal national polling pressure but no parliamentary dissolution or no-confidence motion to force an early national ballot.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$15,165
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's firm rejection of snap elections, coupled with his intent to serve the full legislative term until general elections by August 2027, anchors trader consensus at 78% for "No," despite fresh charges on April 13 against his wife for influence peddling and corruption that have intensified PP opposition calls. PSOE's minority coalition, backed by Sumar and regional parties like ERC, remains intact amid strong economic growth—2.8% projected for 2026—and decree approvals such as January's mass regularization for 500,000 undocumented immigrants. Recent regional losses, including Castilla y León's March vote where PP held power and Vox gained seats, signal national polling pressure but no parliamentary dissolution or no-confidence motion to force an early national ballot.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$15,165
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"西班牙在2026年提前舉行大選?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "西班牙在2026年舉行突發選舉?" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "西班牙在2026年提前舉行大選?" has generated $15.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "西班牙在2026年提前舉行大選?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "西班牙在2026年提前舉行大選?" is "西班牙在2026年舉行突發選舉?" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "西班牙在2026年提前舉行大選?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.