Tarik Skubal leads trader consensus at 23.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL Cy Young after clinching the 2024 award with a dominant 2.39 ERA, 228 strikeouts, and 24 quality starts for the Tigers, showcasing elite consistency and workload durability that sets him apart in a wide-open field. Jacob deGrom trails at 11.5% due to his pedigree of sub-2.00 ERAs when healthy, but persistent elbow issues and limited 2024 innings with the Rangers amplify injury risk. Garrett Crochet's 10.0% reflects sky-high strikeout rates (12.9 K/9) and breakout potential post-trade rumors from the White Sox, though control concerns and innings limits loom as key differentiators amid emerging challengers like Bibee and Fried.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Tarik Skubal 19%
Garrett Crochet 15%
雅各布·德格羅姆 12%
Max Fried 9.6%
Tarik Skubal
24%
Garrett Crochet
12%
雅各布·德格羅姆
12%
Cole Ragans
5%
杭特·布朗
5%
Max Fried
10%
布萊恩·烏
3%
洛根·吉爾伯特
3%
Kyle Bradish
2%
喬·萊恩
2%
Ranger Suarez
6%
內森·伊瓦爾迪
6%
Dylan Cease
3%
喬治·柯比
2%
卡洛斯·羅登
5%
凱文·高斯曼
2%
麥肯齊·戈爾
5%
荷西·索里亞諾
5%
Pablo Lopez
6%
Gavin Williams
4%
Bryce Miller
6%
Cam Schlittler
2%
Gerrit Cole
4%
Tarik Skubal 19%
Garrett Crochet 15%
雅各布·德格羅姆 12%
Max Fried 9.6%
Tarik Skubal
24%
Garrett Crochet
12%
雅各布·德格羅姆
12%
Cole Ragans
5%
杭特·布朗
5%
Max Fried
10%
布萊恩·烏
3%
洛根·吉爾伯特
3%
Kyle Bradish
2%
喬·萊恩
2%
Ranger Suarez
6%
內森·伊瓦爾迪
6%
Dylan Cease
3%
喬治·柯比
2%
卡洛斯·羅登
5%
凱文·高斯曼
2%
麥肯齊·戈爾
5%
荷西·索里亞諾
5%
Pablo Lopez
6%
Gavin Williams
4%
Bryce Miller
6%
Cam Schlittler
2%
Gerrit Cole
4%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarik Skubal leads trader consensus at 23.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL Cy Young after clinching the 2024 award with a dominant 2.39 ERA, 228 strikeouts, and 24 quality starts for the Tigers, showcasing elite consistency and workload durability that sets him apart in a wide-open field. Jacob deGrom trails at 11.5% due to his pedigree of sub-2.00 ERAs when healthy, but persistent elbow issues and limited 2024 innings with the Rangers amplify injury risk. Garrett Crochet's 10.0% reflects sky-high strikeout rates (12.9 K/9) and breakout potential post-trade rumors from the White Sox, though control concerns and innings limits loom as key differentiators amid emerging challengers like Bibee and Fried.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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