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選舉·參議院

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Market icon
選舉·參議院

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 22%

Chuck Schumer 18%

Cory Booker 5%

John Barrasso 5%

Polymarket
NEW

John Thune 22%

Chuck Schumer 18%

Cory Booker 5%

John Barrasso 5%

Polymarket
NEW
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John Thune

$55 交易量

22%

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Chuck Schumer

$0 交易量

18%

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Cory Booker

$0 交易量

5%

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John Barrasso

$0 交易量

5%

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Lindsey Graham

$0 交易量

4%

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Tom Cotton

$0 交易量

4%

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Brian Schatz

$0 交易量

4%

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Patty Murray

$0 交易量

4%

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Steve Daines

$0 交易量

4%

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Mark Kelly

$603 交易量

4%

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Amy Klobuchar

$0 交易量

4%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field for next Senate Majority Leader amid uncertainty over 2024 election outcomes, with Republicans needing net four seat flips for control in battleground states like Montana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Nevada. John Thune leads as current GOP Whip and frontrunner in his party's internal conference vote to succeed Mitch McConnell, while Chuck Schumer remains viable as incumbent if Democrats hold their 51-49 edge. Recent polling averages from 538 and Race to the WH show GOP favored at around 60% but vulnerable to high turnout or surprises, compressing odds among dark horses like Barrasso, Graham, and Daines. Final vote counts, recounts, or certifications post-November 5 could widen leads, alongside party whip counts and endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
交易量
$659
結束日期
Jan 3, 2027
市場開放時間
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field for next Senate Majority Leader amid uncertainty over 2024 election outcomes, with Republicans needing net four seat flips for control in battleground states like Montana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Nevada. John Thune leads as current GOP Whip and frontrunner in his party's internal conference vote to succeed Mitch McConnell, while Chuck Schumer remains viable as incumbent if Democrats hold their 51-49 edge. Recent polling averages from 538 and Race to the WH show GOP favored at around 60% but vulnerable to high turnout or surprises, compressing odds among dark horses like Barrasso, Graham, and Daines. Final vote counts, recounts, or certifications post-November 5 could widen leads, alongside party whip counts and endorsements.

Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field for next Senate Majority Leader amid uncertainty over 2024 election outcomes, with Republicans needing net four seat flips for control in battleground states like Montana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Nevada. John Thune leads as current GOP Whip and frontrunner in his party's internal conference vote to succeed Mitch McConnell, while Chuck Schumer remains viable as incumbent if Democrats hold their 51-49 edge. Recent polling averages from 538 and Race to the WH show GOP favored at around 60% but vulnerable to high turnout or surprises, compressing odds among dark horses like Barrasso, Graham, and Daines. Final vote counts, recounts, or certifications post-November 5 could widen leads, alongside party whip counts and endorsements.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Senate Majority Leader?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "John Thune" at 22%, followed by "Chuck Schumer" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Next Senate Majority Leader?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Next Senate Majority Leader?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Senate Majority Leader?" is "John Thune" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chuck Schumer" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Senate Majority Leader?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.