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納斯達克100指數（ NDX ）在12月底會受到什麼衝擊？

Market icon
金融·指示

納斯達克100指數（ NDX ）在12月底會受到什麼衝擊？

12月 31

12月 31

$36,104 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$36,104 交易量

Polymarket

↑ $45,000

$0 交易量

11%

↑ 39,000美元

$3,517 交易量

3%

↑ 35,000美元

$550 交易量

20%

↑ 32,000美元

$0 交易量

14%

↑ $30,000

$0 交易量

19%

↑ 28,500美元

$99 交易量

28%

↓ $21,000

$2,942 交易量

57%

↓ 18,000美元

$0 交易量

36%

↓ 15,000美元

$94 交易量

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) index, hovering near 23,900 in early April 2026 after a volatile holiday-shortened week, reflects trader caution with a roughly 5% year-to-date decline driven by weakness in its Magnificent Seven stocks—all down double digits from 52-week highs amid softening tech sentiment. The Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% amid sticky inflation has tempered rate-cut expectations, contributing to a 1.9% Nasdaq Composite plunge on April 2. Q1 earnings season is underway, with S&P 500 profits forecasted to rise 13% year-over-year, though tech growth faces scrutiny; upcoming catalysts include May FOMC proceedings and Nasdaq-100 methodology updates enabling faster large-IPO inclusions from May 1.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.
交易量
$36,104
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ET

結算來源

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) index, hovering near 23,900 in early April 2026 after a volatile holiday-shortened week, reflects trader caution with a roughly 5% year-to-date decline driven by weakness in its Magnificent Seven stocks—all down double digits from 52-week highs amid softening tech sentiment. The Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% amid sticky inflation has tempered rate-cut expectations, contributing to a 1.9% Nasdaq Composite plunge on April 2. Q1 earnings season is underway, with S&P 500 profits forecasted to rise 13% year-over-year, though tech growth faces scrutiny; upcoming catalysts include May FOMC proceedings and Nasdaq-100 methodology updates enabling faster large-IPO inclusions from May 1.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.
交易量
$36,104
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ET

結算來源

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"納斯達克100指數（ NDX ）在12月底會受到什麼衝擊？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ $25,000" at 100%, followed by "↓ 24,000美元" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "納斯達克100指數（ NDX ）在12月底會受到什麼衝擊？" has generated $36.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "納斯達克100指數（ NDX ）在12月底會受到什麼衝擊？," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "納斯達克100指數（ NDX ）在12月底會受到什麼衝擊？" is "↓ $25,000" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↓ 24,000美元" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "納斯達克100指數（ NDX ）在12月底會受到什麼衝擊？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.