Polymarket traders assign nearly identical implied probabilities—43% peak for $25,000-$26,500, 42.5% for $26,500-$28,500—to mid-range Nasdaq 100 (NDX) bins for its December 2026 close, reflecting competitive sentiment from the index's current ~25,100 level amid sustained AI-driven gains balanced by valuation concerns. Recent Q1 2026 earnings from Nvidia, Microsoft, and hyperscalers like Amazon and Alphabet showcased 17-25% growth fueled by $500-700 billion in aggregate AI capex, propelling NDX up 4% last week from April 7 lows, yet high multiples and Fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75% temper aggressive upside. Key differentiators include Q2 earnings beats accelerating to 30,000+ versus rotation risks or geopolitical flares; watch April 28-29 FOMC for rate path signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$23,500-$25,000 82%
$30,500-$33,000 44%
$26,500-$28,500 43%
$25,000-$26,500 42%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
<$23,500
28%
$23,500-$25,000
82%
$25,000-$26,500
42%
$26,500-$28,500
43%
$28,500-$30,500
-
$30,500-$33,000
44%
$33,000-$36,000
42%
>$36,000
16%
$23,500-$25,000 82%
$30,500-$33,000 44%
$26,500-$28,500 43%
$25,000-$26,500 42%
最新
最新
2026-12-31
<$23,500
$0 交易量
28%
$23,500-$25,000
$0 交易量
82%
$25,000-$26,500
$0 交易量
42%
$26,500-$28,500
$0 交易量
43%
$28,500-$30,500
$0 交易量
-
$30,500-$33,000
$0 交易量
44%
$33,000-$36,000
$0 交易量
42%
>$36,000
$42 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders assign nearly identical implied probabilities—43% peak for $25,000-$26,500, 42.5% for $26,500-$28,500—to mid-range Nasdaq 100 (NDX) bins for its December 2026 close, reflecting competitive sentiment from the index's current ~25,100 level amid sustained AI-driven gains balanced by valuation concerns. Recent Q1 2026 earnings from Nvidia, Microsoft, and hyperscalers like Amazon and Alphabet showcased 17-25% growth fueled by $500-700 billion in aggregate AI capex, propelling NDX up 4% last week from April 7 lows, yet high multiples and Fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75% temper aggressive upside. Key differentiators include Q2 earnings beats accelerating to 30,000+ versus rotation risks or geopolitical flares; watch April 28-29 FOMC for rate path signals.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間： Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ET
交易量
$42結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders assign nearly identical implied probabilities—43% peak for $25,000-$26,500, 42.5% for $26,500-$28,500—to mid-range Nasdaq 100 (NDX) bins for its December 2026 close, reflecting competitive sentiment from the index's current ~25,100 level amid sustained AI-driven gains balanced by valuation concerns. Recent Q1 2026 earnings from Nvidia, Microsoft, and hyperscalers like Amazon and Alphabet showcased 17-25% growth fueled by $500-700 billion in aggregate AI capex, propelling NDX up 4% last week from April 7 lows, yet high multiples and Fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75% temper aggressive upside. Key differentiators include Q2 earnings beats accelerating to 30,000+ versus rotation risks or geopolitical flares; watch April 28-29 FOMC for rate path signals.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$42結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ETPolymarket traders assign nearly identical implied probabilities—43% peak for $25,000-$26,500, 42.5% for $26,500-$28,500—to mid-range Nasdaq 100 (NDX) bins for its December 2026 close, reflecting competitive sentiment from the index's current ~25,100 level amid sustained AI-driven gains balanced by valuation concerns. Recent Q1 2026 earnings from Nvidia, Microsoft, and hyperscalers like Amazon and Alphabet showcased 17-25% growth fueled by $500-700 billion in aggregate AI capex, propelling NDX up 4% last week from April 7 lows, yet high multiples and Fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75% temper aggressive upside. Key differentiators include Q2 earnings beats accelerating to 30,000+ versus rotation risks or geopolitical flares; watch April 28-29 FOMC for rate path signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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