Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 58% probability for Microsoft (MSFT) to close above $420 by March 28, propelled by robust Azure cloud growth (31% YoY last quarter) and AI momentum from Copilot integrations, lifting shares 4% this month to $416.50 amid Nasdaq's risk-on surge. Key catalyst: FOMC March 20 meeting, where steady 5.25-5.50% rates could extend tech rally, though persistent inflation (CPI +3.2% YoY) poses volatility risk. Resistance looms at recent highs near $422, with ex-dividend March 21 offering minor support via $0.75 payout; analyst consensus targets $440 signal bullish bias absent macro shocks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$70,001 交易量
$315
91%
$330
91%
$345
94%
$360
82%
375美元
70%
390美元
43%
$405
9%
$420
8%
435美元
7%
$450
2%
465美元
2%
$480
2%
495美元
1%
$70,001 交易量
$315
91%
$330
91%
$345
94%
$360
82%
375美元
70%
390美元
43%
$405
9%
$420
8%
435美元
7%
$450
2%
465美元
2%
$480
2%
495美元
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
市場開放時間: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 58% probability for Microsoft (MSFT) to close above $420 by March 28, propelled by robust Azure cloud growth (31% YoY last quarter) and AI momentum from Copilot integrations, lifting shares 4% this month to $416.50 amid Nasdaq's risk-on surge. Key catalyst: FOMC March 20 meeting, where steady 5.25-5.50% rates could extend tech rally, though persistent inflation (CPI +3.2% YoY) poses volatility risk. Resistance looms at recent highs near $422, with ex-dividend March 21 offering minor support via $0.75 payout; analyst consensus targets $440 signal bullish bias absent macro shocks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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