Microsoft's stock trades at $421.52 as of March 28 close, positioning Polymarket traders to bet on whether it closes above $430 by March 29 end, with yes shares implying 42% probability amid recent volatility. Primary driver is the post-earnings momentum fade from January's 15% Azure growth beat, tempered by broader tech sector rotation out of megacaps toward value stocks following FOMC's hawkish March tilt holding rates steady. Key supports at $415 (50-day SMA) and resistance at $428; a break above could target $435 on AI tailwinds from Copilot adoption. No earnings until April 25, but watch tomorrow's PCE inflation data for Fed cut odds impacting Nasdaq flows—trader consensus prices in modest upside risk if macro softens.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$70,040 交易量
$315
91%
$330
91%
$345
95%
$360
84%
375美元
70%
390美元
43%
$405
7%
$420
3%
435美元
6%
$450
16%
465美元
1%
$480
1%
495美元
1%
$70,040 交易量
$315
91%
$330
91%
$345
95%
$360
84%
375美元
70%
390美元
43%
$405
7%
$420
3%
435美元
6%
$450
16%
465美元
1%
$480
1%
495美元
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
市場開放時間: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft's stock trades at $421.52 as of March 28 close, positioning Polymarket traders to bet on whether it closes above $430 by March 29 end, with yes shares implying 42% probability amid recent volatility. Primary driver is the post-earnings momentum fade from January's 15% Azure growth beat, tempered by broader tech sector rotation out of megacaps toward value stocks following FOMC's hawkish March tilt holding rates steady. Key supports at $415 (50-day SMA) and resistance at $428; a break above could target $435 on AI tailwinds from Copilot adoption. No earnings until April 25, but watch tomorrow's PCE inflation data for Fed cut odds impacting Nasdaq flows—trader consensus prices in modest upside risk if macro softens.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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